MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ae96074cd27e04170c15201f8a2a209c77c9d59cc920b957c58d8a6eae3e1a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,105
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 63c | 12,072$7,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,663.66 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Over | 51c | 7,632$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.64 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 7,599$2,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.27 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 49c | 5,542$2,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.19 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 43c | 5,260$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.82 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a6…c8d3backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 4,314$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,438.81 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 49c | 3,950$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022.23 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 47c | 3,362$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580.08 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…7a4abacked Under | 56c | 3,200$1,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.94 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 54c | 3,102$1,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.2 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 1,973$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.55 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da3…2f94backed Under | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 50c | 1,525$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.75 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 54c | 1,479$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.15 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 49c | 1,313$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.34 | 825 | 51.6%426 W · 399 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…87f7backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 74c | 1,112$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.24 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 47c | 1,032$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.14 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb46…3692backed Over | 52c | 1,030$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 45c | 948.84$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…1a62backed Under | 77c | 900$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 19c | 887$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.29 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 62c | 831.03$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 55c | 750.68$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.98 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 678$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.97 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 52c | 652.46$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.08 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 52c | 579.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.6 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 59c | 565.4$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.38 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 47c | 530$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Under | 58c | 433.75$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.28 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 385.42$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.42 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Over | 49c | 378.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.42 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 64c | 359.2$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.87 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Under | 22c | 330$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.4 | 191 | 43.5%83 W · 108 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…edc9backed Over | 34c | 290.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Under | 34c | 287.65$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 33c | 280.84$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 48c | 244.34$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.06 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 39c | 240.44$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.35 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 51c | 234.42$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.72 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 47c | 215$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 49c | 208.65$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Under | 52c | 204.1$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.39 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 67c | 201.47$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.17 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 384 | 55.2%212 W · 172 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…e0cdbacked Over | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 56c | 167.7$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 28c | 151.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.35 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 62c | 128.32$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Over | 44c | 114.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 43c | 104.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 40c | 101.67$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 58c | 95.12$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c5…5a2fbacked Under | 54c | 93.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ac…0e0bbacked Under | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Over | 51c | 81.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -15.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 50c | 64.95$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 273 | 54.6%149 W · 124 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 54c | 63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…3914backed Under | 61c | 62.41$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c99…d91abacked Over | 45c | 62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 122 | 35.2%43 W · 79 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 60c | 61.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Under | 52c | 61.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 252 | 49.6%125 W · 127 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a601backed Under | 50c | 59.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Under | 50c | 58.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 393 | 44.3%174 W · 219 L | -22.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cb…a917backed Over | 53c | 56.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Over | 47c | 51.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df6…cba0backed Under | 64c | 50.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 1,445 | 50.3%727 W · 718 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Under | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 303 | 50.8%154 W · 149 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 67c | 49.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7708…42cbbacked Under | 57c | 47.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 49c | 45.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 56c | 45.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…f883backed Over | 65c | 44.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb267…d710backed Over | 63c | 43.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Over | 25c | 43.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623a…5144backed Under | 47c | 42.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 45c | 40.43$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe503…6d7bbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +110.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 45c | 39.13$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 36c | 39.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.13 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9f…b100backed Over | 51c | 39.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 53c | 38.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…8754backed Under | 43c | 38.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7961…a812backed Over | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Over | 46c | 36.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc278…a116backed Over | 44c | 33.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 841 | 40.2%338 W · 503 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 44c | 32.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 42c | 30.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5this page
- Kansas City Royals vs. AthleticsAthletics won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics: O/U 13.5Under won
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)Athletics won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)Kansas City Royals won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Athletics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.