La Liga · resolved market

Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe819c3fd02eec251efec7d90a1801554ec14fef336932c7342b333d4ae64d0a8

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 23, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $42,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,522 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x8496…27b6backed Yes	11c	2,591$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.01	44	65.9%29 W · 15 L	+5.3wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaee8…1154backed Yes	3c	1,873$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.17	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	31cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x705d…f3a9backed Yes	2c	1,822$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.84	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-57.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	3c	1,719$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.19	57	5.3%3 W · 54 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-85.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39c0…ae83backed Yes	8c	896.54$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.35	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a43…2c94backed Yes	6c	813.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd739…25b1backed Yes	11c	790.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.04	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.09per pick	41cpaid	-14%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Yes	5c	762.92$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.08	70	31.4%22 W · 48 L	+4.0wins	+0.06per pick	26cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0075…5f10backed Yes	13c	741.92$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.4	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	5c	738.8$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.67	81	43.2%35 W · 46 L	+7.5wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+48.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed Yes	2c	730.62$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.02	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e2f…f5c1backed Yes	27c	711.31$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d36…5227backed Yes	10c	697.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	15c	599.43$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.91	161	49.7%80 W · 81 L	+6.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+18.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	5c	548.47$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.09	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-81.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0163…9aa0backed Yes	3c	528.69$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.86	62	50%31 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…feb3backed Yes	7c	516.18$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes	25c	496.42$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.29	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-41.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbae5…4586backed Yes	22c	457.21$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x548e…3834backed Yes	10c	412.21$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.4	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	19c	395.42$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.13	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.7wins	-0.17per pick	23cpaid	-91.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Yes	4c	388.7$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	140	28.6%40 W · 100 L	-7.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes	3c	376.53$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.13	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	18c	351$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.69	79	36.7%29 W · 50 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc3…46ecbacked Yes	10c	345.47$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.03	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xccf8…6345backed Yes	29c	342.97$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2021…2555backed Yes	7c	316.03$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62e1…7b41backed Yes	20c	307.19$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.3	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.7wins	-0.21per pick	44cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x25b1…ce54backed Yes	4c	305.56$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8106…e28bbacked Yes	17c	288.34$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdede…8a50backed Yes	10c	275.42$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.37	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.10per pick	10cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0dfb…63f6backed Yes	17c	270$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.71	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+4.5wins	+0.15per pick	53cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes	4c	260.8$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc41d…ad0dbacked Yes	24c	230.3$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c0…7aedbacked Yes	18c	205.47$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.2	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.26per pick	41cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe10c…e7e2backed Yes	8c	200$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	20	65%13 W · 7 L	+3.8wins	+0.19per pick	46cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf56e…1a92backed Yes	10c	193.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.07	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb5d2…e9b8backed Yes	23c	186.78$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed Yes	13c	178.63$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.38	69	56.5%39 W · 30 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	65cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83db…7087backed Yes	18c	164.05$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe095…3984backed Yes	8c	159.11$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4208…e9eabacked Yes	9c	149.2$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79f6…7504backed Yes	8c	148.39$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8d7…bacabacked Yes	8c	144.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.99	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb082…4fbebacked Yes	11c	140.73$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61b2…7599backed Yes	9c	138.32$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3059…bd1fbacked Yes	13c	136.68$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5028…9bb7backed Yes	11c	131.18$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+47.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba1…48abbacked Yes	8c	126.2$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.29per pick	21cpaid	+43.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes	18c	118.25$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.29	31	51.6%16 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+47.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8594…7eedbacked Yes	39c	104$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.76	69	50.7%35 W · 34 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	60cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No	76c	100$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.3	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-47.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63da…5b90backed Yes	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6da4…b8a7backed Yes	18c	99.99$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	76c	97.6$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.72	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x614a…ebe6backed Yes	23c	95$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.47	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes	22c	67.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.92	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe347…b438backed No	79c	39.54$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.41	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked No	69c	28.33$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.89	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0be4…d131backed No	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.24	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-37%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3657…f3d7backed No	76c	19.73$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.73	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event