Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe21ea1ef6d61c6209f77b970f49d536523c922cc58e0049f7b2993a6c6c835ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,939
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Yes | 5c | 12,895$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.34 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…cfccbacked Yes | 1c | 12,005$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 2c | 11,336$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.31 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 3c | 8,773$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.03 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked Yes | 11c | 7,369$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.53 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 6,620$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -89.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 5,118$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.06 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 4c | 4,550$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.62 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 4,519$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 18c | 4,300$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.84 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 11c | 3,606$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.93 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 2,698$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Yes | 4c | 2,313$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 2,108$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.98 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 10c | 2,000$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.14 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 3c | 1,990$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…cfd0backed Yes | 4c | 1,715$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…5851backed Yes | 4c | 1,679$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…3df0backed Yes | 5c | 1,627$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…2755backed Yes | 2c | 1,601$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…a9c1backed Yes | 4c | 1,600$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e4…01b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,557$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 3c | 1,160$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7640…b42cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed Yes | 12c | 1,106$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.6 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70da…2599backed Yes | 11c | 1,100$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e61…19bdbacked Yes | 17c | 1,049$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x60e9…8c20backed Yes | 4c | 1,025$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…7a57backed Yes | 4c | 1,025$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…7d13backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…c2b8backed Yes | 2c | 968.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 13c | 930.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.72 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +9.0wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x478e…324dbacked Yes | 1c | 868.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes | 3c | 806.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…6c81backed Yes | 3c | 803.88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 790.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.93 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 19c | 732.41$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.78 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f00…7addbacked Yes | 4c | 731.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 726.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f2…7990backed Yes | 3c | 691.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd739…25b1backed Yes | 17c | 674.41$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc90e…78a3backed Yes | 17c | 639.53$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98e…8823backed Yes | 17c | 600$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 3c | 544.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…8ee4backed Yes | 4c | 517$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 9c | 443.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e16…981ebacked Yes | 2c | 434.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 15c | 383.17$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…72bdbacked Yes | 4c | 379.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…f8a4backed Yes | 3c | 352$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Yes | 4c | 320$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 11c | 299.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…9a43backed Yes | 11c | 245.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…75e3backed Yes | 13c | 231.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae5…4586backed Yes | 17c | 209.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes | 11c | 198.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +146.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…f2f3backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…2089backed Yes | 17c | 178.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d09…b88abacked Yes | 11c | 169.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9b…e768backed Yes | 11c | 144.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed Yes | 18c | 135.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f78…2d21backed Yes | 18c | 125$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 17c | 106$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x643c…3fc2backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4f…df6fbacked Yes | 11c | 87.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes | 17c | 68.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf5…e9dcbacked Yes | 18c | 62.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?this page
- Will AEK Larnaca win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aberdeen win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?Yes won
- Will Basel win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Bologna win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Brann win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celta win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Celtic win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Dynamo Kyiv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will FCSB win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Fenerbahçe win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ferencváros win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Feyenoord win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will GNK Dinamo win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Genk win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will KuPS Kuopio win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will L. Red Imps win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lech Poznań win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lille win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Ludogorets win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Lyon win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will M. Tel-Aviv win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Nott'm Forest win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will PAOK win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Panathinaikos win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Porto win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Red Star Belgrade win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Roma win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Stuttgart win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Young Boys win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
- Will Zrinjski win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.