Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7e4bf6db81ecb0717955af5387ef09c6c5eb5a1bedd2f7d7f8dd34df022ad3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $787,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $787,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 251 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x91ee…c5b8backed Yes | 43c | 558,047$237,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320,219.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed No | 57c | 229,461$131,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131,369.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 57c | 104,952$59,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,772.99 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…f320backed Yes | 41c | 47,772$19,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,196.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 58c | 33,435$19,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,435.22 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 57c | 27,437$15,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,639.09 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…120ebacked Yes | 42c | 25,033$10,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,509.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 57c | 23,400$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 16,517$9,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,656.3 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4da7…7abdbacked No | 57c | 16,430$9,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,365.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…b809backed No | 59c | 15,055$8,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,807.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked No | 59c | 14,800$8,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,732 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 13,506$7,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,214.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 10,115$5,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,889.18 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 57c | 9,204$5,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,246.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 8,167$4,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,818.53 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,640 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 57c | 7,079$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.03 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 40c | 6,032$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618.98 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked No | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 41c | 5,109$2,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,014.41 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 58c | 4,872$2,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835 | 129 | 63.6%82 W · 47 L | +12.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 59c | 3,610$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,115.94 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,030 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 58c | 3,476$2,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,026.08 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 58c | 3,271$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.75 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…5dfebacked No | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.98 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 2,856$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,675.65 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…7047backed No | 63c | 2,387$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 58c | 2,340$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 40c | 2,163$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291.45 | 232 | 50.9%118 W · 114 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 40c | 2,016$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed No | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 61c | 1,967$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed No | 32c | 1,908$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.43 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635e…0438backed Yes | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.78 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 26c | 1,519$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.23 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked No | 58c | 1,431$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.98 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 60c | 1,403$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.03 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,389$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.33 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 58c | 1,300$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 61c | 1,290$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$786.92 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 59c | 1,271$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.89 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 42c | 1,260$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.51 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 59c | 1,199$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.37 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…2bb6backed No | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa96f…0cd0backed Yes | 43c | 1,079$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 58c | 1,034$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Yes | 41c | 1,027$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.91 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked No | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -6.2wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…4b67backed No | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 18c | 929.56$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.68 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 58c | 900$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked No | 58c | 857.18$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 62cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked No | 58c | 808$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.64 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 58c | 800$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 58c | 773.05$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.37 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 767.17$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.21 | 486 | 49%238 W · 248 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 42c | 665.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.28 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 59c | 649.35$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.12 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 625$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 41c | 611$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.49 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 58c | 584.52$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.19 | 164 | 48.8%80 W · 84 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed No | 57c | 535$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 59c | 520$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.79 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…b4dabacked Yes | 75c | 517.35$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 58c | 517.22$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…bac9backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…6edbbacked No | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 41c | 499.99$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 122 | 38.5%47 W · 75 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed No | 57c | 470.18$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 43c | 468.47$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.03 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked No | 58c | 460$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.8 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 30c | 442.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.46 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47d1…7618backed No | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17fb…d0d5backed Yes | 19c | 394.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +232%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed No | 58c | 365.09$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 58c | 344.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9c…bf99backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 67cpaid | -8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef2…fdb6backed Yes | 41c | 333$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 42c | 331.23$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.55 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 62c | 311.15$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.36 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.