TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,770
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,540

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,770 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7402…8020backed Yes17c7,511$1,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No71c7,303$5,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,129.851,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes31c4,400$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.6933145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c2,467$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$902.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes42c2,454$1,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,030.61154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No77c1,423$1,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.496943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No71c1,409$1,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.8248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No78c1,315$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.7715071.3%107 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes42c900$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3787138%27 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes28c892.86$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2503850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd43…cd41backed No64c782$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.522152.4%11 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick70cpaid-24.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c717.31$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.8118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No80c621.21$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2410938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes12c602.17$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.2611916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes27c499.99$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135140%0 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No72c463.52$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7830448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcff0…fa1abacked Yes20c450$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+496.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked No58c421$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.825127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x903e…2829backed Yes43c405.7$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes27c393.89$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.3516644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes18c380.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.551553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked Yes46c353.36$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked No65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No52c300$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.248066.3%53 W · 27 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2537…26febacked Yes62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae79…9161backed Yes37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c269$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.635261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7106…1caabacked Yes50c240$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202030%6 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a58…1497backed Yes57c222.64$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No51c222.02$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4118155.2%100 W · 81 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes33c203.94$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No70c188.9$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.85955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes16c185.98$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8417817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2363…b0e8backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506155.7%34 W · 27 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f70…ce77backed Yes20c161$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+496.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c159.95$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7926354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66f0…1229backed No78c152.46$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.46425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-68%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed No54c152.17$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.52552%13 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes27c150$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.526041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No79c150$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.524052.9%127 W · 113 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed No74c149.64$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.965829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No71c127.26$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.3815951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No73c115$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.054231%13 W · 29 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No73c109.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.593852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No73c108.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7738056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes27c106.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6712238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes47c106.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No71c102.49$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3314352.4%75 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0fc…b09fbacked No60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3022340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1633…1e55backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+77.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2716448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7b8…e32bbacked No18c100$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.23per pick10cpaid+257.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7577…8fb9backed Yes27c98.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3f4…16f3backed Yes43c97.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c7…1942backed Yes17c94.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161711.8%2 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Yes17c93.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes16c88.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.07205%1 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick28cpaid-84.7%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x0832…9182backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…ed31backed Yes62c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ae6…269dbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x202b…e209backed Yes27c74.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20742.9%3 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick24cpaid+86.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed No53c73.46$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.182634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d85…5c50backed Yes28c71.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes43c70.32$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No67c67.38$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3516224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No63c66.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.094447.7%21 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981e…1981backed Yes60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ff…35ccbacked Yes23c65.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.951330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Yes43c62.56$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe7c…41c1backed Yes49c60.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.758643%37 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed No53c56.04$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No57c55.75$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.9924349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b1…b470backed Yes27c55.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151216.7%2 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-75.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf81a…719abacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No75c51$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541850%9 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Yes21c51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711520%3 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-57.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.55933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ec1…5144backed Yes62c48.39$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4c0…6c00backed Yes63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaac…70cbbacked Yes42c46.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes27c43.03$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6220150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc1d…f32cbacked No59c41.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.02250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes37c41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.171421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6762…a9a5backed No71c40$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.471850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No80c38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.615649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No80c37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.44351.2%22 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No73c36.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.98957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d49…7cc0backed No69c35.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No59c33.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6835157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1db5…79f4backed Yes62c32.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed No77c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.133060%18 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc96…1245backed No78c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.821275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked No71c29.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.542842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…3e9fbacked No74c27.41$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.138100%8 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.