TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-05-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$81,736
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$85,616

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,736 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbd14…d62abacked Yes38c13,295$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+52.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No68c7,309$4,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,350.8787344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No63c6,394$4,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,354.5552550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No67c6,153$4,126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,026.841,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c3,429$2,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.691,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes34c3,200$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.510521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No69c2,544$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.8612963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed Yes1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick24cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes20c2,347$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.251526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+37.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No67c2,187$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.696347.6%30 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d57…18ddbacked Yes39c1,797$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c1,760$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.823250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No73c1,612$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.5148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5534…1036backed Yes29c1,583$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb93b…454bbacked Yes19c1,253$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes31c1,226$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed No66c1,200$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes25c1,133$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.676943.5%30 W · 39 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa2b…5dfebacked No66c999.99$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+63.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes33c999.86$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.954151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No78c954.56$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.547060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No67c906.51$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.155251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No68c890.55$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.3533145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd147…ecbdbacked Yes25c818.37$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.546530.8%20 W · 45 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes32c804$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1510640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No67c777.21$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.3730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes33c757.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0db…56d5backed No69c672.67$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.671376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No77c621.99$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5618046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No72c608.99$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.521566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No78c603.89$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17450%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…b5c5backed Yes56c571.43$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No68c560$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.226354%142 W · 121 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed No75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656654.5%36 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1656051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked No67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1655552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d9…d7f5backed Yes31c500$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1552123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No67c467.43$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.599960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked No67c460$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.86357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes35c457.76$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0727049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Yes33c454.55$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked No68c445$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.44953.1%26 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes34c441.18$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes30c436.64$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.2716644.6%74 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c380.36$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.4418351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ec…8c8dbacked Yes27c365.37$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes36c348.99$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad19…a7adbacked Yes32c339.97$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.795046%23 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes26c326.85$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841020%2 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c322.55$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked No71c320$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.84100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes31c319.48$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964751.1%24 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed No67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$995352.8%28 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes27c299.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816330.2%19 W · 44 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes22c299.94$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.765127.5%14 W · 37 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No67c298.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4910364.1%66 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc21…ea09backed Yes34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No68c286.36$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6416448.8%80 W · 84 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.44431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…0114backed Yes22c257.95$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.75837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No65c251$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.858254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick5cpaid+1,407.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553716.2%6 W · 31 L-6.7wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-69.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Yes6c250$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151020%2 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+330.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Yes33c234.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes40c216.77$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.58944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes20c202.25$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.455320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c07…4529backed Yes33c200$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661850%9 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+26.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c8…f30abacked Yes29c196.55$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571020%2 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-62.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked No67c183$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.578644.2%38 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No63c179.82$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No67c149.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2412367.5%83 W · 40 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed No67c149.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.247861.5%48 W · 30 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-19%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.067746.8%36 W · 41 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18fe…bfdabacked Yes29c133.72$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Yes31c129.03$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed No65c128.88$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.185846.6%27 W · 31 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xde45…1a8dbacked Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+111.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e5b…bb9abacked No67c119.4$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.43852.6%20 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes31c117.54$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.555955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd030…2133backed Yes29c116.72$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.85742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+40.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2397…55bcbacked Yes31c112.9$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7932…5b38backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes34c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.41723.5%4 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick18cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a1…d53ebacked Yes23c106.83$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.57633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+75.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed No67c105.04$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.661258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Yes28c103.86$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3212238.5%47 W · 75 L-11.1wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ce8…fc49backed No73c102.74$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes26c102.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.95829.3%17 W · 41 L-8.8wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-54.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked No69c102.32$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.724650%23 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302040%8 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2412039.2%47 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.