MLB · resolved market
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14f6256e621646fd98bcb050dec732831eb7e86fffb136094c0b06781edeafb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Toronto Blue Jays, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $353,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $356,326
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $353,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 314 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 68,021$30,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,411.63 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 57,111$31,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,411.05 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 40,000$18,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,999.91 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 24,645$13,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,554.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 23,054$12,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,498.84 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38f0…2768backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 19,251$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,571.21 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 16,548$6,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,486.03 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 25c | 15,032$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,750 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Toronto Blue Jays | 51c | 14,464$7,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,435.99 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 13,304$7,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,317.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Twins | 75c | 10,663$8,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,644.62 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 10,214$5,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,617.8 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a90…0636backed Toronto Blue Jays | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.91 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 8,949$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.4 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 8,753$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.12 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 8,311$4,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,718.06 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Minnesota Twins | 70c | 6,480$4,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.83 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 6,336$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,497.33 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Minnesota Twins | 54c | 5,632$3,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,610.15 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 5,418$2,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,975.75 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 35c | 5,113$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.49 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 52c | 4,808$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 4,617$2,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,493.02 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 4,437$2,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,396.17 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,913$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.04 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 3,834$1,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,056.46 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 3,016$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.99 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 2,235$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.04 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Minnesota Twins | 55c | 2,209$1,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.23 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 2,080$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.29 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Minnesota Twins | 69c | 2,060$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,975$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.5 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 1,971$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.67 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb58f…a45cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 5c | 1,945$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.23 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,861$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.33 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 59c | 1,710$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.02 | 214 | 49.5%106 W · 108 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 1,667$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,618$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.74 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 48c | 1,575$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,480$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.79 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,422$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.42 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 1,304$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.35 | 141 | 56%79 W · 62 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca20…7b68backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,274$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.99 | 371 | 43.9%163 W · 208 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,267$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.58 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 1,200$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.98 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 26c | 1,175$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.21 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x695d…60d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Toronto Blue Jays | 56c | 1,100$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc64…8d0fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 19c | 1,035$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 10cpaid | +253.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 1,012$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.58 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 57c | 1,001$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.56 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 1,000$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.29 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 999.98$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.99 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Toronto Blue Jays | 11c | 965.66$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 293 | 31.7%93 W · 200 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 947$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.02 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 44c | 916.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.28 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Toronto Blue Jays | 34c | 906.22$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.8 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11af…8b97backed Toronto Blue Jays | 40c | 877.13$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 872.64$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.95 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Toronto Blue Jays | 10c | 771.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 731.47$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.99 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Toronto Blue Jays | 39c | 673.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.91 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 49c | 664$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.73 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 638.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.73 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 36c | 626.11$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.51 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 7c | 609.57$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 600$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 538.5$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.52 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2b…e828backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 521.74$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.74 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 507.22$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.26 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Minnesota Twins | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Toronto Blue Jays | 12c | 483.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…a73abacked Minnesota Twins | 44c | 476.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 475.34$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 474.62$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.29 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Minnesota Twins | 48c | 452.23$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.28 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 54c | 449.93$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.96 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…4b0dbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 18c | 444.44$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 429$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2407…17ffbacked Minnesota Twins | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Toronto Blue Jays | 32c | 419.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.55 | 396 | 40.9%162 W · 234 L | -25.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Minnesota Twins | 51c | 418.99$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 414.74$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.96 | 674 | 44.1%297 W · 377 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Minnesota Twins | 47c | 413.78$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.42 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +36.1wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2c55…97d4backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 403.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Minnesota Twins | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Toronto Blue Jays | 33c | 389.61$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.54 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Toronto Blue Jays | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Toronto Blue Jays | 55c | 375.05$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.53 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Toronto Blue Jays | 29c | 372.97$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 194 | 42.3%82 W · 112 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Minnesota Twins | 44c | 366.45$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 6.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota TwinsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.