Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x05260e1c44dc94aadd963c29e0005618d4b9975db01f0883e01455c729a04cf1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 185 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 38c | 3,141$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab58…f788backed Yes | 20c | 3,135$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,054$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.22 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 64c | 3,050$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.26 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 16c | 2,027$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.32 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 7c | 1,664$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 68c | 1,457$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 19c | 1,425$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 8c | 1,395$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.75 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 36c | 1,374$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.61 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 7c | 1,342$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.57 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 39c | 1,293$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa5…2380backed Yes | 32c | 1,289$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa44b…eb27backed Yes | 45c | 1,101$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…971abacked Yes | 39c | 1,100$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked No | 71c | 1,069$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…a320backed Yes | 32c | 1,065$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 2c | 1,060$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440e…4907backed No | 64c | 1,029$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 45c | 1,006$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes | 32c | 959$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 28c | 907$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed No | 55c | 848$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 62c | 771$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 60c | 742$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed Yes | 45c | 740$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 44c | 736$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked Yes | 32c | 728$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbc…d620backed Yes | 38c | 713$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 33c | 709$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 39c | 705$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed No | 60c | 689$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed Yes | 38c | 665$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 39c | 657$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 9c | 638.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.04 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc450…a5b8backed Yes | 40c | 637$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…dca6backed No | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfdc…444dbacked Yes | 39c | 595.67$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed No | 55c | 564$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +407.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 68c | 564$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a8…2a44backed No | 68c | 518$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 39c | 518$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 61c | 512$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked No | 68c | 497$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed Yes | 37c | 496$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7321…1812backed Yes | 45c | 491$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 59c | 485$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed No | 55c | 474$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked No | 55c | 474$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…a127backed Yes | 45c | 474$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 27c | 472$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…99aebacked No | 73c | 472$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed No | 68c | 468$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed No | 61c | 466.98$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.18 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…dd15backed No | 59c | 466.58$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…8211backed Yes | 33c | 458$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec0…76f4backed No | 67c | 458$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 61c | 457$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a1…8919backed Yes | 49c | 444$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 51c | 444$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed Yes | 38c | 441$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed No | 55c | 436$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked No | 62c | 427$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 21c | 420.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 10c | 416$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…8178backed Yes | 8c | 407.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes | 29c | 399$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 55c | 392$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d66…fc54backed No | 63c | 383$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…9134backed Yes | 37c | 383$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 41c | 382$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 8c | 381.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…4435backed No | 63c | 375$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed Yes | 37c | 375$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Yes | 9c | 368.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed No | 67c | 361$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 13c | 360.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 64c | 358$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 7c | 351.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…99aabacked No | 67c | 348$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec9…3213backed No | 55c | 348$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c4…2d95backed Yes | 12c | 347$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 68c | 331$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 12c | 327.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 7c | 326.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 59c | 306$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked Yes | 41c | 306$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe055…8df9backed Yes | 13c | 299.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 60 | 5%3 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked No | 64c | 299$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 36c | 293$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 12c | 286$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0ec1backed No | 55c | 276$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Yes | 7c | 267.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed Yes | 36c | 267$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 62c | 267$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 9c | 263.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca3…9546backed No | 64c | 261$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed No | 55c | 253$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 39c | 248.89$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed No | 61c | 248$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.