Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0535dc9983df3f59fb2aec1f0ea770507dfb58514643142e335c06f0edace923
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,963
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f63…6643backed Yes | 76c | 6,437$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.05 | 20 | 100%20 W · 0 L | +5.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 28c | 4,250$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes | 17c | 2,823$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,357.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 17cpaid | +506.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed No | 71c | 2,367$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.69 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 11c | 1,801$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.91 | 30 | 10%3 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…25a4backed No | 4c | 1,700$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 16c | 1,347$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 12c | 1,285$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,130.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 21c | 1,205$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.22 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 25c | 1,122$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked Yes | 15c | 953$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked Yes | 15c | 919$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +549.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 23c | 915.95$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.38 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd215…b4eebacked Yes | 12c | 878$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked Yes | 12c | 869$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a4…8cb2backed Yes | 27c | 843.77$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +88%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 30c | 821.59$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5214…95c9backed Yes | 12c | 818$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef68…d402backed No | 76c | 805.95$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fc…d14dbacked Yes | 12c | 801$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…af45backed Yes | 12c | 663$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed Yes | 12c | 648$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed Yes | 12c | 622$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +222.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 11c | 599.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.96 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 12c | 585.65$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$516.73 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 59c | 581.49$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.61 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 16c | 528$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +513.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f36…2819backed Yes | 29c | 526.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +156.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0d…93debacked Yes | 24c | 500$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 13c | 482$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +669.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 17c | 474$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 12c | 402$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked Yes | 10c | 387.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa22e…109cbacked Yes | 12c | 386$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +400%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Yes | 20c | 379.46$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.46 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 12c | 360$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 17c | 348$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.42 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 18c | 347.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.82 | 299 | 13.7%41 W · 258 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 15c | 337.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.9 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 18c | 321.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.44 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc2…97dbbacked Yes | 60c | 314.1$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe02b…e86dbacked Yes | 12c | 296$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 19c | 292$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.2 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb1…6de8backed Yes | 12c | 280$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 34cpaid | +407.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 15c | 279.09$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.07 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…bd9cbacked Yes | 23c | 277.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +16%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 17c | 272.84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 73c | 264.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.52 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…5bb2backed Yes | 27c | 255.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541a…1740backed Yes | 12c | 245$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 21c | 218.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 19c | 215$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.29 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 27c | 211.34$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed Yes | 17c | 201$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 26c | 193.03$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.43 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa994…19a6backed Yes | 18c | 188.56$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +442.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 11c | 183.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x458d…5455backed Yes | 7c | 179.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +680.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked Yes | 12c | 170$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked Yes | 12c | 160$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +381.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 28c | 143.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 76c | 141.15$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.66 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc0…4942backed Yes | 12c | 137$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9205…2aa7backed Yes | 29c | 132.66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5f…0ecdbacked Yes | 27c | 120.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 12c | 120.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.02 | 140 | 24.3%34 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 14c | 118.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.45 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 23c | 115.31$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbff8…7073backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 27c | 112.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eba…7a23backed Yes | 42c | 107.42$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 16c | 106.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.35 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3b…d363backed Yes | 66c | 106.22$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a0…4230backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +33%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…4b44backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 70c | 99.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 16c | 98.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.58 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…11c4backed Yes | 27c | 92.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +271.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 21c | 90$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4113…88bebacked Yes | 22c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 66c | 89.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.77 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…4a9cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x246a…d909backed Yes | 60c | 83.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 20c | 77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 77c | 76.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.64 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 20c | 71.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…9a67backed Yes | 18c | 70$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 37c | 69.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…e92abacked Yes | 52c | 69.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…4cfbbacked Yes | 30c | 66.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…f295backed Yes | 30c | 66.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +232.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x552f…1f0bbacked Yes | 20c | 64.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +397.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 74c | 62.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08db…296fbacked Yes | 19c | 57.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 19c | 57.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 27c | 55.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +264.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.