Macro Indicators · resolved market
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x174f4f8447b716603444fc4df4ff9b0dfc3cb29ef74dfacb6cdee6ff98cbf54c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Macro Indicatorsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Macro Indicators is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9531…9099backed Yes | 12c | 3,970$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…c1c4backed Yes | 8c | 3,339$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9163…82aebacked Yes | 6c | 1,940$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,906$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,596$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed Yes | 16c | 1,575$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 16c | 1,445$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.09 | 224 | 33.9%76 W · 148 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +69%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 9c | 1,395$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.66 | 75 | 25.3%19 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 1,383$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | +101.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…63bebacked Yes | 20c | 1,374$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.92 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -6.5wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9322…01e3backed Yes | 16c | 1,282$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,262$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.42 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,252$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 8c | 1,171$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…fbcabacked Yes | 16c | 1,106$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed Yes | 19c | 1,070$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 2c | 1,060$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed8…93d4backed Yes | 11c | 1,019$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.78 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 16c | 1,008$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 17c | 983$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…3b1ebacked Yes | 17c | 967$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 16c | 963$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 16c | 829$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked Yes | 16c | 814$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b4b…1fb3backed Yes | 16c | 805$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes | 16c | 803$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed Yes | 16c | 802$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 16c | 799$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 16c | 781$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Yes | 16c | 777.45$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.17 | 70 | 30%21 W · 49 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 17c | 777$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0016…1b7abacked Yes | 17c | 776$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 16c | 775$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked Yes | 16c | 755$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33e2…e1babacked No | 75c | 746$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed Yes | 13c | 728$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 13c | 726$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd68…cdd3backed No | 75c | 694$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad04…dce5backed No | 74c | 693$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce16…b18ebacked Yes | 13c | 687$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 11c | 664.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked Yes | 25c | 655$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d8…b773backed Yes | 16c | 636.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 16c | 610$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 16c | 602$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked Yes | 16c | 593.04$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.89 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7238…e52dbacked Yes | 16c | 585$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes | 16c | 575$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed Yes | 25c | 570$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Yes | 16c | 566$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 16c | 564$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a04…2310backed Yes | 16c | 557$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 75c | 555$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fd…66bcbacked Yes | 16c | 534$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked Yes | 16c | 525$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 16c | 507$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…1c37backed Yes | 18c | 499.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe291…9806backed Yes | 15c | 499.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…4ab2backed No | 77c | 468$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed Yes | 23c | 468$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…28c7backed Yes | 12c | 466.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…ef17backed Yes | 16c | 405$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 12c | 395$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 75c | 377$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 19c | 340$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be4…b548backed Yes | 15c | 326.6$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 11c | 326.19$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 19c | 325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 9c | 302.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0de5…d01cbacked Yes | 16c | 293$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0acc…debabacked Yes | 26c | 293$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6142…367bbacked Yes | 12c | 286$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 6c | 285.31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 16c | 279$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Yes | 25c | 270$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 16c | 266$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…9ae0backed No | 78c | 264$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1502…be53backed Yes | 16c | 260$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e2…7babbacked Yes | 23c | 260$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217e…09debacked No | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +381.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 11c | 258.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 256.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 175 | 28%49 W · 126 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…6c88backed Yes | 18c | 246.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c14…821ebacked Yes | 18c | 238.89$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked Yes | 11c | 216$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 10c | 215$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 18c | 207.2$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 9c | 200.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ae…4cf1backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe17a…c6fbbacked Yes | 11c | 197$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f4…66e6backed Yes | 6c | 190.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 17c | 177.68$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 16c | 173.9$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 173.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 17c | 149$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 146.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12a…fb09backed Yes | 12c | 145.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 14c | 140.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Macro Indicators and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?this page
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?No won
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be less than 1.0%?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.