Serie A · resolved market
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fca56b7401a55ea5753bc833cd5bd739580d065539d45ae2da1c287e78f137c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $171,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,112
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $171,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99df…f925backed Yes | 6c | 17,365$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 14c | 7,010$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 34cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 3c | 5,928$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 4,869$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.46 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -47%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54a…c622backed Yes | 4c | 4,280$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 3,863$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.3 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3a98backed Yes | 6c | 2,771$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 4c | 2,717$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4117…bf12backed Yes | 4c | 2,509$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 2c | 2,412$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.79 | 96 | 27.1%26 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 2c | 2,056$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…bcd2backed Yes | 7c | 1,974$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 3c | 1,675$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 16c | 1,435$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf46…3083backed Yes | 4c | 1,370$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 16c | 1,230$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.36 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafc…38ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,163$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…e26dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,122$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,081$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0d…1d6dbacked Yes | 3c | 978.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 17c | 783.82$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a6…ded6backed Yes | 22c | 776.54$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x555f…012bbacked Yes | 11c | 668.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 4c | 663.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +93%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce5…3b06backed Yes | 10c | 650$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 5c | 499.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…4d30backed Yes | 4c | 480.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…b099backed Yes | 6c | 478.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…6f6cbacked Yes | 14c | 451.83$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x884c…b743backed Yes | 6c | 443.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…c3d0backed Yes | 5c | 430$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 4c | 415.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +110%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 9c | 373.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc03…1548backed Yes | 14c | 358$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf84…2d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 349.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 6c | 341.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked Yes | 16c | 333.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…e01cbacked Yes | 5c | 304.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes | 5c | 268.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…9a45backed Yes | 5c | 260$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c06…db24backed Yes | 6c | 246.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc3…a71fbacked Yes | 15c | 239.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 6c | 220.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…f2c1backed Yes | 5c | 213.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 5c | 204$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…c417backed Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes | 13c | 191.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…6c8dbacked Yes | 17c | 182.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 13c | 178.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 76c | 168.5$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4432…9350backed Yes | 18c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…98e6backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 16c | 110$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Yes | 13c | 88.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Serie A league?this page
- Will AC Milan win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Bologna win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Cagliari win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Como win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Cremonese win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Fiorentina win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Genoa win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Inter win the 2025–26 Serie A league?Yes won
- Will Lazio win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Lecce win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Parma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Pisa win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Sassuolo win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Torino win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Udinese win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
- Will Verona win the 2025–26 Serie A league?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.