Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3416aba5dafcf7755acb879cbf776188ff595d49fbb525805f93072679836480
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,982
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,982 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 2c | 5,365$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.56 | 150 | 37.3%56 W · 94 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Yes | 19c | 601$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 74c | 545.9$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…4793backed Yes | 38c | 472.37$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd2…1e85backed Yes | 50c | 400.29$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed No | 50c | 373.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.66 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd771…90a3backed Yes | 30c | 333.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…d898backed Yes | 24c | 276.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 18c | 269.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x294d…b362backed Yes | 25c | 242.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.82 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked Yes | 9c | 240.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 79c | 225.93$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.73 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd1…e36ebacked Yes | 21c | 194.12$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e99…72a0backed Yes | 16c | 190.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7644…13d7backed Yes | 8c | 185.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 30c | 164.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 33c | 150.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1081…8216backed Yes | 20c | 150.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 16c | 136.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…5447backed Yes | 25c | 129.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 27c | 127.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 26c | 127.31$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…aebebacked Yes | 20c | 127.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 75c | 126.81$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 9c | 125.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 9.3%4 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3472…bc66backed Yes | 18c | 119.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…8ab3backed Yes | 21c | 117.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f200backed Yes | 19c | 111.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…6b9abacked Yes | 23c | 109.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 15c | 102.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0800…ceb0backed No | 77c | 100.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe838…b694backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 31c | 85.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.79 | 208 | 19.2%40 W · 168 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 83.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…16e5backed Yes | 19c | 77.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 15c | 71.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…17aabacked Yes | 16c | 67.79$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…e4d7backed Yes | 32c | 61.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b35…12b3backed Yes | 39c | 60.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…bc58backed Yes | 17c | 57.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…4e86backed Yes | 27c | 57.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.71 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb708…ef3dbacked No | 77c | 36.57$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c04…c81abacked Yes | 30c | 34.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 75c | 32.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 408 | 21.8%89 W · 319 L | -53.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…ef71backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 55c | 24.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab84…d6cfbacked Yes | 47c | 22.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?this page
- Will Arsenal finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Bournemouth finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brentford finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Brighton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Chelsea finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Crystal Palace finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Everton finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Fulham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester City finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?Yes won
- Will Newcastle finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Nottm Forest finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Sunderland finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Tottenham finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
- Will Wolves finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.