TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester United finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,426
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,554

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,426 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xba0e…5cebbacked No73c2,129$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.28250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No7c1,795$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.532433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf48…6f13backed Yes26c1,438$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick17cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e42…49edbacked Yes59c925.28$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4be…7626backed No5c898.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed No32c849.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.520819.2%40 W · 168 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-29.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff4…d735backed No12c826$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.951931.6%6 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+19.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes10c782.5$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$707.59747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No44c699.12$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.7815233.6%51 W · 101 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6079…81c6backed No74c695.91$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.8610552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc2e…2358backed No76c688.24$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.917447.3%35 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbae1…cdf9backed Yes79c499.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb002…bc16backed Yes24c417.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.08425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e1…098ebacked Yes6c402.07$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.95955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick30cpaid+220.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb06c…94e5backed Yes70c400$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3e…abeabacked No9c380$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.611428.6%4 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-44%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefd…4f2abacked Yes21c369.53$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2eae…a25fbacked No4c345.53$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4936036.1%130 W · 230 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe56f…a9c6backed Yes30c337.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+238.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7cee…8592backed Yes25c333$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.082642.3%11 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe09f…3561backed Yes32c315.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+57.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes38c270.99$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.032119%4 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick15cpaid-28.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b3…4793backed Yes34c257.75$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.75333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe240…20fbbacked Yes78c256.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x385c…a385backed No39c238.38$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No63c213.53$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.067247.2%34 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977f…7029backed Yes25c201.61$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.613930.8%12 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28da…b97dbacked Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes72c199.95$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.5129158.4%170 W · 121 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb772…7b07backed Yes62c197.44$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.46333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-46%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac3…5a50backed No78c181.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9677…116fbacked Yes24c178.39$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick27cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb708…ef3dbacked No34c176.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ab4…a62dbacked No59c168.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes60c167.01$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.131361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fa…9af5backed Yes60c166$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.529561.1%58 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No56c159.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.931266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1a…4221backed No34c159.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.77633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e62…64a7backed Yes71c150.65$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31c5…0be4backed Yes66c150.06$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes62c150$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.512251.6%63 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c43…97f8backed Yes71c146.28$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.061060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No33c143.39$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.741936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-40.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes45c141.33$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.145648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No53c140.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9218459.2%109 W · 75 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes45c139.57$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+34.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No14c136.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.542037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffa…68bdbacked Yes16c127.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.47666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+92.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes25c127.11$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.331145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes21c124.34$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.264712.8%6 W · 41 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-46.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e51…92bfbacked No37c122.64$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb178…1fa0backed Yes50c120.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.993756.8%21 W · 16 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Yes61c115.46$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.75349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3535…e4d0backed No74c110.45$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.27728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-60.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked Yes26c110$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.261910.5%2 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-52.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30be…1787backed Yes60c106.33$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe2b…4486backed Yes25c100.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes20c100.7$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.982227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5a…35aebacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-38.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.511143.2%48 W · 63 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8cbe…4d88backed No21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.71533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes28c95.38$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.6215037.3%56 W · 94 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8af9…5cf5backed No42c95.36$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14bc…a126backed Yes57c87.99$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No31c85.98$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8815030.7%46 W · 104 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-22.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f1…e1f9backed Yes64c85.94$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca44…6d4ebacked No35c84.3$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed No75c82.17$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.637448.6%36 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb766…1d83backed No73c81.92$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-58.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0d9…7f44backed Yes61c81.56$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.811637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-37.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x758a…e4d7backed Yes25c80.65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid+0.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x22f9…f814backed No48c80$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3240%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4790…2d77backed Yes44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.55250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9de…5169backed Yes58c77.69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe48b…1f07backed Yes67c77.52$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdda5…830dbacked Yes38c77.09$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.093357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes65c76.8$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.835247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ec6…726dbacked Yes34c74.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.831258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86da…39f5backed Yes68c73.86$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3981…2933backed Yes69c72.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes68c72.41$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.941984.2%16 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick72cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x881b…f334backed Yes42c72.26$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid-19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x613f…b804backed Yes33c66.41$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+202.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59ca…f5d9backed Yes61c65.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec5…ae41backed Yes39c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.783743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e3…5c26backed Yes26c58.62$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.62633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…33bfbacked Yes60c58.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed Yes61c56.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.41346.2%6 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6166…ddacbacked Yes54c55.13$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No34c54.05$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3940821.8%89 W · 319 L-53.7wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xa02e…9442backed Yes29c51.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+248%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…2679backed Yes61c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1712744.1%56 W · 71 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe5…8449backed Yes31c49$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.811947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b7…ec67backed Yes58c46.62$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.621758.8%10 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+52.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xac61…3710backed Yes66c45.34$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.34742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c30…9c2cbacked Yes61c42.54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.532100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xece7…3353backed No26c42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.921421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0ce…a061backed Yes39c41.34$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.