Us Politics · resolved market
Hillary Clinton charged by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248b24bfd3b13334c07d3bbd6b539efc23481db80c291a681717ac4c3f91b07f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,421
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,310
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,421 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe342…f722backed Yes | 2c | 5,440$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddae…7d66backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…fe65backed Yes | 1c | 4,394$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x244f…b304backed Yes | 4c | 3,755$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,734$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…d769backed Yes | 3c | 1,899$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45df…5b27backed Yes | 1c | 1,896$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,716$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…6e94backed Yes | 6c | 1,700$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 19cpaid | +1,415.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…3d65backed Yes | 8c | 1,663$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 2c | 1,496$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…359bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,223$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf779…d36fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,200$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…07a0backed Yes | 4c | 982.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 884.82$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 867.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 134 | 3.7%5 W · 129 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 4c | 850$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 2c | 831.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 395 | 22.8%90 W · 305 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 793.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 78 | 7.7%6 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 700$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 76 | 5.3%4 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31de…bf49backed Yes | 6c | 683.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 4c | 663.91$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.43 | 142 | 8.5%12 W · 130 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…de6abacked Yes | 2c | 658.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9d…17a9backed Yes | 5c | 619$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 485.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 408.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 57 | 10.5%6 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 5cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +61.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x311c…d7cebacked Yes | 9c | 346.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 335.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -84.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed Yes | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d89…286abacked Yes | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…a757backed Yes | 5c | 297$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 287.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf2…6abcbacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5e…a09cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 6cpaid | +84.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31cd…47e5backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0848…ffbebacked Yes | 6c | 170.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0711…f03cbacked Yes | 7c | 169$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd196…2773backed Yes | 7c | 161.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd6…3604backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.