TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83e8…e840backed Yes75c1,501$1,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.96850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes35c1,053$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.14320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed No45c1,042$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.436055%33 W · 27 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75d1…7a5fbacked No70c1,006$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.05540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-34.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ee…a587backed Yes34c705.7$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.27616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick52cpaid-64.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc468…009dbacked Yes30c635.93$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.441323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No19c632.82$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.241353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+26.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes37c565.64$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.231735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes47c461.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.666331.7%20 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed No60c429.57$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.613752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fa2…11e8backed No41c321.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+141.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes75c317.17$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.33425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-49.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No35c270.16$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.156737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e1c…53f2backed No58c268.37$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.751330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+61.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb12…e12dbacked Yes36c220.24$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x26cb…3e56backed Yes6c211.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.55616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes39c210.58$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.541050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes16c210.55$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.782142.9%9 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No11c190.16$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.69728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick10cpaid+74%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes35c171.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607240.3%29 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No38c170$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.374050%20 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91f9…b8e6backed No24c167.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.42250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+110.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497b…aba5backed No39c163.93$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0264…2186backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes49c163$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.73825%2 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+93%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No35c161$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.311266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+50.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked No33c150$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.5911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-66.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked No48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick35cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeef4…a917backed Yes67c150$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344d…1278backed Yes67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes69c145$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed No40c132.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+147.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes50c128.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9332843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No35c127.61$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.06728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-37%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf779…d36fbacked No35c122.19$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.83825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+110%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed No51c118.17$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+64.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No61c112.03$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdad6…0d14backed Yes48c110.35$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4604…cedfbacked Yes79c106.28$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes38c105.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.71346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d77…fdbebacked Yes64c105$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-36.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed No13c101.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.161225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2aa0…e82fbacked No77c100.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.28per pick49cpaid+68.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed No27c94.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+229.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Yes34c92.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.93540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+145.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No34c92.69$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.191643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d37…0dbfbacked No75c86.54$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.632100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cfc…8d63backed No35c85.71$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.712100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+417.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4b82…f2ecbacked No65c85.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.82333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Yes16c84.81$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cea…ffd2backed Yes58c82.75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.05683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick68cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf18…8577backed Yes25c80.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613f…b804backed No35c77.79$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+187.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed No74c77$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes26c77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+67.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7842…4d91backed Yes35c73.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.992924.1%7 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaefb…11afbacked Yes70c70.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.5920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf283…da05backed No29c69.69$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.692100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+207.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x643b…cd1cbacked No72c67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.74425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa8…004abacked Yes66c60.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9776…d2cabacked Yes34c59.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes54c51.79$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.7918125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d8e…ec88backed No20c51.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+391.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2672…ea33backed Yes30c49.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc13e…d3fdbacked Yes66c45.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed Yes74c45$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+183.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed No25c44.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.333100%3 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+195.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes77c39.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305440.7%22 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes42c39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2928445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed No68c38.78$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34146.3%19 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x146a…2ec4backed Yes51c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes43c38$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a2…4b66backed No63c36.1$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick25cpaid+194.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xec43…0bbdbacked No58c35.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No34c35.01$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.283218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e86…0399backed Yes54c32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a4…4051backed No36c31.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bac…5e79backed No67c31.11$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa265…bfc8backed Yes41c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16b3…403bbacked Yes66c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81866.7%12 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+37.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No40c29.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.81030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+53.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes52c29.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.223447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd06f…49b9backed Yes70c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed No52c27.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.072744.4%12 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x019a…7df0backed Yes66c21$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3650…9456backed Yes63c20.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe139…f6e2backed No50c20.38$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2754…1668backed No60c20.07$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.09450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+40.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d03…f0f4backed No64c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick64cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…9f59backed Yes66c18.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.