TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,320

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,320 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x33bc…37dcbacked No73c632.48$461 inWon+$1716737.3%25 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes19c613.34$118 inLost-$117.844242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes5c583.6$29 inLost-$28.914845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+85%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes7c261$18 inLost-$17.913218.8%6 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick13cpaid+48.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaefb…11afbacked Yes32c240.02$76 inLost-$76.3720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes8c191.76$15 inLost-$14.630%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes9c144.08$14 inLost-$13.541533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes9c140$13 inLost-$12.541225%3 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick9cpaid+93%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes30c100$30 inLost-$301241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5207…a8cebacked Yes26c76.92$20 inLost-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85e4…79adbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inLost-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes42c40$17 inLost-$16.61643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a4…72adbacked No79c30.12$24 inWon+$6.333666.7%24 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked No69c23$16 inWon+$7.131050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No68c20$14 inWon+$6.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0934…f376backed No69c20$14 inWon+$6.2450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No70c20$14 inWon+$6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.