Serie A · resolved market
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfef5db00966a292a4dc0325bc2706d480e2ea800d6499863998aecfc1e9ca319
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,012 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0c8…e944backed No | 2c | 1,049$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 22c | 892.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 328 | 43.6%143 W · 185 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 57c | 606.07$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.82 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 75c | 532.03$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 32c | 405$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +93%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed Yes | 47c | 365.78$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 16c | 325.86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +93%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked Yes | 47c | 220.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.63 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 50c | 200.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.69 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -58%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked Yes | 25c | 196.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 24c | 176.06$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.47 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6acb…06bdbacked No | 79c | 142.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 60c | 127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a2…4b66backed Yes | 32c | 114.12$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +194.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf82…97f3backed Yes | 28c | 109.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 50c | 105$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.48 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf573…5910backed Yes | 32c | 103.41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 59 | 18.6%11 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 24c | 98.31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.72 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd617…335ebacked Yes | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +184.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 50c | 88.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 35c | 88.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +145.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed Yes | 13c | 87.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +255.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…fe67backed Yes | 27c | 82.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +274.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…e26dbacked Yes | 30c | 67.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9776…d2cabacked No | 70c | 56.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked Yes | 28c | 45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81da…ac35backed Yes | 70c | 42.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 35c | 41.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x643b…cd1cbacked No | 77c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed No | 79c | 30.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…3e56backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 55c | 27.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +5.3wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +169.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf270…6015backed Yes | 45c | 27.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51df…3b7fbacked Yes | 64c | 26.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 79c | 25.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e0…d60cbacked Yes | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 71c | 24.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…bc09backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?this page
- Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Atalanta finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Fiorentina finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Inter finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Juventus finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Lazio finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Napoli finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Roma finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?Yes won
- Will Sassuolo finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will US Cremonese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
- Will Udinese finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.