Serie A · one pick
Wallet 0x30ee…a587 got this right.
Will Como finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
https://tailmypicks.com/w/0x30eead8be2dbf57303b78eb9e7404d37c9bca587/m/0xfef5db00966a292a4dc0325bc2706d480e2ea800d6499863998aecfc1e9ca319
Rebuilt .
What this wallet called, and what happened
- Backed
- Yesat 47c — the average price it paid on that side
- What happened
- Yes won · US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Position
- 365.78 shares$174 spent on the side it backed
- P/L held to resolution
- +$192.13+110.6% on this pick, not cash withdrawn
TailMyPicks grades a pick on the market’s winning outcome whether or not the wallet sold beforehand — buying the winner at 40c and selling at 80c is still a correct forecast. Backed is the side left once opposing buys cancel each other share for share, so a fully hedged market yields no pick at all.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
One call is not a record. Here is this wallet’s whole Serie A record.
| Wallet | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x30ee…a587in Serie A | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 52cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
These 7 columns describe every qualified pick this wallet holds in Serie A and say nothing about the market above. vs expected is the number of wins over what the prices it paid already implied, which is what separates a forecaster from somebody who bought favourites.
From here
- This wallet’s whole record, category by categoryEvery category it is scored in, with the ones below 50 counted as loudly as the ones above.
- Everyone who was on this market42 wallets hold a qualified pick here, largest position first, each with its Serie A record.
- Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)The venue’s own page for the question. TailMyPicks never calls Polymarket while rendering — this is a link you follow, not a request this page makes.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.