TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Atlético Madrid beat Seattle Sounders?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$229,958
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$282,779

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $229,958 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc58d…9373backed No25c44,318$11,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,136.2512536.8%46 W · 79 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+33.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes70c41,330$28,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,356.063863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No23c26,562$6,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,191.4836851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No24c19,000$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,569.9923942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63eb…d9f8backed Yes76c17,812$13,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,279.251250%6 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes71c12,500$8,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6258740.2%35 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1d9…4ce3backed Yes78c11,877$9,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,614.14936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3503…b8babacked No29c10,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.965448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…dc48backed Yes71c7,000$4,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0301442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No26c6,554$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.7118758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No29c5,000$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45017853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed No17c4,775$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.8310736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes71c4,170$2,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,211.6412848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked No29c3,317$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.286058.3%35 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed No30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90013538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked No30c1,710$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.9517852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fcb…0426backed Yes71c1,674$1,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.483666.7%24 W · 12 L+5.6wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x178e…76f7backed No30c1,430$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4292138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed Yes70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed No21c1,238$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.742528%7 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No29c1,215$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.8844955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc470…1eecbacked No7c1,200$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.51540%6 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick34cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d10…d816backed Yes71c1,133$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No31c1,104$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.0540222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed No23c1,043$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.935343.4%23 W · 30 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+68.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31012956.6%73 W · 56 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x378d…2ee7backed Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29019645.4%89 W · 107 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…f98cbacked Yes71c1,000$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5501…d73abacked No29c974.98$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes70c912.29$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.5514955%82 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes71c890.74$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.3219453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ace…dccebacked No29c690$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1804443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes73c585.94$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.184961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No29c553.6$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9846956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes71c550$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.525450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes71c456.89$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5412546.4%58 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No28c393.01$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0413333.1%44 W · 89 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed No30c356.27$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.682934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes71c342.44$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.312958.6%17 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7f…71c7backed Yes71c302.82$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.821070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2623…23f1backed Yes70c300.71$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.711172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36e3…30b5backed Yes71c280.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.68837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x27a9…8781backed Yes72c279.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.26053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e82…0d3fbacked No29c245$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No7c209.47$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.043852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes71c208.37$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.475244.2%23 W · 29 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No30c203.3$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3138356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224b…f6b8backed No29c160$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477946.8%37 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8d6…0062backed No28c143.04$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402951.7%15 W · 14 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8524455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe62d…dae3backed Yes71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851973.7%14 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1604…eb26backed Yes71c140.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes71c140.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.257659.2%45 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9918650.5%94 W · 92 L-14.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2a85…a1bdbacked Yes71c135.8$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.384850%24 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1426443.9%116 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes78c128.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3314655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05c8…0de1backed Yes78c127.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.851573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc47c…a661backed Yes70c125.37$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.611656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd978…d50abacked Yes72c120$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.82070%14 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes78c119.68$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.721040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes72c118.17$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3711145.9%51 W · 60 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No13c107.69$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf861…4864backed Yes72c106.9$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412055%11 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc6e…9191backed Yes72c103.76$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.05977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+22.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No20c102$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.384647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No29c101.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5630657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b1…bacfbacked Yes70c101.86$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed No22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223560%21 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes72c96.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.946643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc28a…ac64backed Yes71c94.37$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.374100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes70c94$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.27950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes73c74.07$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x02d3…eb60backed Yes71c72.54$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.04683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick74cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866d…4d7dbacked No24c71.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.392725.9%7 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick21cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.423745.9%17 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x79e9…e20fbacked Yes70c65.86$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.76862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed No22c62.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1414332.2%46 W · 97 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.828357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…783dbacked Yes71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.44040%16 W · 24 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Yes72c59.71$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.552157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddde…2e88backed Yes71c57.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.75850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe328…9f4abacked Yes78c57.2$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.71546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-31.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes70c57.14$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.143759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4116…330abacked Yes71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.343036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed No29c56.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.342524%6 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-46.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd18…a458backed Yes71c54.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.873043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0f…addabacked Yes78c51.28$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.284259.5%25 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes71c50.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724740.4%19 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06c6…4162backed No28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb54c…61b0backed Yes71c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.51060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95b…1692backed Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147552%39 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e3…b8b2backed Yes71c43.66$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7517…e63ebacked Yes72c40.51$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf12…1d8cbacked Yes72c40.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31fa…2297backed Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.61376.9%10 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick73cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Yes72c39.71$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.33754.1%20 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.