TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will PSG beat Real Madrid in regulation time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,300
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$183,501

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,300 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No55c41,465$22,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,777.719159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes42c40,000$16,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,035.26048.3%29 W · 31 L+10.6wins+0.18per pick31cpaid+68.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes47c22,222$10,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,777.663863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+29.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No57c13,487$7,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,687.8417853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda93…f09cbacked No16c12,443$1,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.661752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c2…9818backed No58c10,000$5,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,80010845.4%49 W · 59 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes42c9,500$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,51036851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed No57c7,679$4,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,395.6318758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad94…85b1backed No58c6,815$3,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,967.3610040%40 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb52c…450cbacked No54c4,621$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.841127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-53.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No57c4,086$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.724742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Yes55c3,266$1,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,456.9310736.4%39 W · 68 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3731…1acabacked No57c2,356$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes48c2,287$1,096 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.0215250.7%77 W · 75 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No57c2,270$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,303.8238048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes41c2,000$820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18025450%127 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…b2dabacked Yes42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+125.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No3c2,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020948.8%102 W · 107 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Yes71c1,781$1,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$523.5124963.1%157 W · 92 L+45.5wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+63.6%equal weight68+0.17 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No53c1,600$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84823942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes45c1,332$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$732.641450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes42c1,190$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.484738.3%18 W · 29 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5802365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No54c962.21$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.019341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8704…4b8dbacked No21c913.13$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.091963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b24…d646backed No3c837.45$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaec4…fa49backed No60c837.33$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.43545.7%16 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked No57c800$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4562623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes40c779.53$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.72540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No55c767.92$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.5544955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed Yes41c744.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.552250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No59c721.96$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.9612147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes48c680.26$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3717852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Yes42c655.28$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.063545.7%16 W · 19 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc995…875cbacked Yes47c603.98$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Yes42c471.12$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.253971.8%28 W · 11 L+6.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+33%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd3a…68a9backed Yes50c418.96$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.481040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No58c401.98$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1515442.9%66 W · 88 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No54c376.48$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.452552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c4…09cbbacked Yes42c364.29$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.293818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-59.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x242f…565fbacked Yes47c326.75$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.11944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf652…9351backed Yes67c303.37$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.11666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No51c299.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1546858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49f…3408backed No60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7256…30c9backed No60c248.02$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.818243.9%36 W · 46 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5a5…6111backed Yes47c240$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa264…e26abacked Yes42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.13060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No34c237.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.923135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff92…f22cbacked Yes45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.224961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No52c215.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.875352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Yes47c205.23$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.771656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No58c203.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.919453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No58c195.15$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1924047.1%113 W · 127 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed No53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001450%7 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes76c188.09$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3639842.2%168 W · 230 L+1.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes42c185.62$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.668633.7%29 W · 57 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+24.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbc…a70dbacked Yes46c170$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+175.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No60c168.33$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017855.1%43 W · 35 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed No60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024455.7%136 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bce…c476backed Yes42c166.64$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.654841.7%20 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Yes72c157$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Yes44c154.22$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.362157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No55c144$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.838356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf31…d3d1backed Yes46c130$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No11c127.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes41c124.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.392646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x670c…d5fabacked Yes43c117.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.063759.5%22 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc537…d662backed Yes41c109.76$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x84dc…9c02backed No57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578240.2%33 W · 49 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5944033.9%149 W · 291 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6646956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8af…4900backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607950.6%40 W · 39 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc09…9d12backed Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+116.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No59c100$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598450%42 W · 42 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed No56c95.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.771450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6111…c02fbacked Yes44c89.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.27875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+49.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f50…45aabacked Yes42c83.33$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.33650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9305…e2d7backed Yes42c79.43$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.07450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a0…4446backed Yes45c79$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.45875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes42c78.57$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.572751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+63.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Yes79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69953.5%53 W · 46 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf82…c406backed Yes46c71.74$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1b4…2872backed Yes42c71.65$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed Yes42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.431346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ab2…e698backed Yes40c66.85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.114459.1%26 W · 18 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde74…e866backed No16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee03…3eeabacked No58c62.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.222060%12 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x28fc…6171backed Yes42c60.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df7…522dbacked No53c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No56c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5328357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.53458.8%20 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xc0e8…2688backed Yes46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6f9…2a58backed Yes47c48.6$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1614…64cdbacked Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621650%8 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcb6…65cbbacked Yes42c47.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdd4…7696backed Yes47c46.62$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.719538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18e0…d024backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick42cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2e2…2964backed Yes42c38.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.