TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Real Madrid beat PSG in regulation time?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$172,513
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$230,282

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,513 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc6ab…5eb9backed No75c62,070$46,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,804.652080%16 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Yes25c26,986$6,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,769.5518758.8%110 W · 77 L+18.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Yes25c11,028$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.0636851.1%188 W · 180 L+15.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes26c10,384$2,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,703.4817852.8%94 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes27c8,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16024742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes27c5,826$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.6412848.4%62 W · 66 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked No71c5,308$3,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,549.3912359.3%73 W · 50 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc29a…21e7backed Yes28c5,142$1,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,445922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-61.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c4,081$1,243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,242.5240222.9%92 W · 310 L+0.7wins0.00per pick23cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Yes29c3,466$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003647.2%17 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No67c2,306$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.8617853.9%96 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…bbcbbacked Yes28c2,100$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No67c1,981$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.6519453.6%104 W · 90 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes25c1,916$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.0317658.5%103 W · 73 L+10.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8704…4b8dbacked Yes12c1,674$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001520%3 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-65%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb142…cd11backed Yes33c1,663$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.821040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe93f…6769backed Yes11c1,556$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.111936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes27c1,400$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38023942.7%102 W · 137 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24a1…d723backed Yes29c1,383$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked No66c1,206$796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.989159.3%54 W · 37 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked No72c1,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2805444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No71c999$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.7112147.1%57 W · 64 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes31c800$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482623.1%6 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-38.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes25c771.97$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9930657.5%176 W · 130 L+11.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes33c760.06$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.821233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Yes22c692.41$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1511118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick35cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes2c655.23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.353135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes27c625.93$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16910931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked No74c615$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.94459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed No69c578.92$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.922365.2%15 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30e…db78backed Yes2c526.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed Yes31c518.59$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.7638048.7%185 W · 195 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14511649.1%57 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1404445.5%20 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe411…04c5backed No67c499.98$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.992157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No68c478.68$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.0244955.7%250 W · 199 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No71c445$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.054245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid-4.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Yes32c421.28$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.341855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad98…8733backed Yes28c396.43$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1111330.8%4 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61b8…e78fbacked Yes33c378.79$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb64b…1402backed Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026743.8%117 W · 150 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No74c324.09$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.263452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Yes3c320$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Yes34c310.68$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.632147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid-7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9aa…51f4backed Yes27c306.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.78757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf16c…57d6backed Yes33c295$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.352231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.20per pick52cpaid-38.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xde6a…d9b8backed Yes34c255.32$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4116…e3fabacked Yes16c253.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x198b…9973backed Yes29c229.31$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.52157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes28c217.72$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613627.8%10 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbcab…d73bbacked Yes22c216.98$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick10cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf80b…fa00backed No72c176.73$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.376858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81f8…ead6backed Yes33c149.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502931%9 W · 20 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14b1…7718backed Yes26c145$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfff7…c47fbacked Yes33c143.52$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.36825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a6f…9de1backed Yes11c125$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.75955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe165…19c4backed Yes8c125$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+2.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No71c120$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.84351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac8e…07f7backed Yes15c105.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No67c100.4$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1311950.4%60 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8599…d597backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292025%5 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3344933.6%151 W · 298 L-12.9wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-38.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No66c99.99$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346139.3%24 W · 37 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e09…a4edbacked Yes33c95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.353652.8%19 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…b756backed No68c87.97$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.151346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No69c85$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3738356.7%217 W · 166 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Yes29c83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.073562.9%22 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa437…6dc7backed Yes29c80.14$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No67c79.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.419344%85 W · 108 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6f0…1981backed Yes33c63.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.03650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06ea…a4b6backed Yes33c60.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.011118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-68.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc505…812fbacked Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4df7…522dbacked No71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebb…73eabacked No68c58.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.821154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05fc…7339backed Yes34c58.32$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-76.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014655.5%81 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdd…a3cabacked Yes27c55.24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.641464.3%9 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+85.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed No68c54.38$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.42552%13 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+38.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x48e6…2228backed Yes34c47.59$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef7…bd03backed No67c45.4$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked No67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.784969.4%34 W · 15 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x74b7…9a9dbacked Yes27c44.44$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1270%0 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked No68c43.11$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.8580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed Yes34c40.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.94257.1%24 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58e6…2c48backed Yes33c40$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1390%0 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a21…4e97backed Yes28c37.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.47728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc32d…806ebacked Yes33c36.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No67c29$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5746956.5%265 W · 204 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked No69c25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7728357.2%162 W · 121 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed No67c23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.592272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+24.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe4cf…78c4backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x871e…a823backed No68c18.4$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.895100%5 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b24…d646backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.