TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pistons vs. Bulls

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Pistons, Bulls
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$187,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$216,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $187,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x719d…4e73backed Bulls31c16,556$5,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,132.2311834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bulls11c10,730$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,170.043,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c11…c7e6backed Pistons69c10,449$7,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,239.281258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bulls31c10,111$3,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,122.447656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Bulls32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,199.9459653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Pistons68c9,410$6,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.7712663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bulls1c5,397$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Pistons70c5,275$3,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,607.7343653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed Bulls3c5,225$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.622721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Bulls31c5,200$1,633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.9546131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Pistons68c4,411$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,411.4925865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pistons69c4,399$3,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,363.5862351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Bulls13c4,329$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.7534532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Bulls17c4,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Bulls32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.9840627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bulls33c2,673$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.595,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Pistons71c2,669$1,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782.3514563.4%92 W · 53 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Pistons73c2,136$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.4215763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Pistons69c2,105$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.4836434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Bulls1c2,100$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.78783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Pistons68c2,078$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.2873051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe02e…fe03backed Pistons69c2,045$1,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.98650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Pistons68c2,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.991,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bulls1c1,730$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.291,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8511…4a6bbacked Bulls31c1,450$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.4630351.8%157 W · 146 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…cfd7backed Pistons69c1,435$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-27.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Bulls1c1,400$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.236514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bulls32c1,261$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.6961345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls31c1,222$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.7477745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd500…eb4fbacked Pistons69c1,150$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.51656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+29%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x350d…a3d2backed Bulls31c1,144$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.592347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2209…823ebacked Pistons68c1,123$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.361369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf7e…0fbfbacked Bulls33c1,119$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3691540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bulls1c1,082$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.135502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bulls24c1,056$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9270640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bulls32c1,015$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6532130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5f…82cfbacked Bulls31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3108521.2%18 W · 67 L-0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+33.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Bulls31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31033752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Bulls32c999.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32035046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Bulls31c999.99$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3101,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d34…b76fbacked Pistons67c999.93$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.987860.3%47 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bulls32c998$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.761,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Bulls33c986.09$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.3920238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Bulls31c914.94$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.6319845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Pistons68c853$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.9857760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bulls33c789.4$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.2950245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Bulls30c700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2109534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Bulls32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Bulls2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Pistons69c500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15530251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb1…4253backed Bulls31c450$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.53151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbdd…5905backed Pistons68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.184156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f5…dcb9backed Pistons70c427.11$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.13837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf92…7e3fbacked Pistons69c426.79$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.32757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Pistons66c422.31$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.481,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Pistons69c400.49$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.18943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfafc…2932backed Bulls25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007526.7%20 W · 55 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Pistons68c375.16$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.0517546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Bulls31c370.55$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8487647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa72a…7825backed Bulls31c357.36$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.781338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Bulls18c322.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.322430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9d2…6ce0backed Bulls31c321.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006435.9%23 W · 41 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe69f…52debacked Pistons70c320.61$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.672369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Bulls32c304.37$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.84443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda36…582fbacked Pistons69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb484…69bbbacked Bulls31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x257c…49aabacked Pistons69c300$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Pistons70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xff4a…ad65backed Pistons64c285$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x32e3…d09fbacked Bulls36c280$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.37per pick48cpaid-81.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Bulls32c255.16$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Pistons68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8017256.4%97 W · 75 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ead…761fbacked Bulls32c244.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.04250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Pistons68c230.42$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.7496447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Pistons69c225$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2520447.1%96 W · 108 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Pistons70c223.97$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.1951037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8035…1d67backed Pistons69c220$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b2d…bf24backed Bulls31c220$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Bulls32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.423135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Pistons66c219.8$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9121851.8%113 W · 105 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Pistons70c215.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3293036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bulls32c205$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9485542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Bulls32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Pistons67c199.99$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Bulls31c195$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pistons67c191.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.8488053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x718c…f792backed Pistons72c170.2$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.047441.9%31 W · 43 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5889…f416backed Bulls32c165.63$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$534452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa698…7f1ebacked Pistons68c163.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.241361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf62c…3e6abacked Pistons70c161.51$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef6…4641backed Bulls32c160$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.210426%27 W · 77 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55af…57efbacked Bulls33c156.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.71250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5033638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Pistons71c155$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.535165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Bulls33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Bulls33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed Pistons68c151$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.3225833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f6…2e19backed Pistons69c150$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick48cpaid-58.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…bf2bbacked Bulls17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.54628.3%13 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe102…8235backed Bulls31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.51050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.