Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f41dcf62337975c5bb40a27d807d81f6a9eba3eb0da2954d776f052d47ab6b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $234,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $234,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 261 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff51…ced1backed Yes | 63c | 31,032$19,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,481.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6a…e784backed No | 37c | 30,466$11,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,272.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 64c | 15,627$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,626.72 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 36c | 10,528$3,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,835.32 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 36c | 9,469$3,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.88 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…6deebacked Yes | 69c | 7,059$4,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,214.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6afa…faaabacked Yes | 76c | 6,302$4,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 45c | 6,233$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,792.92 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf195…a7c1backed Yes | 64c | 6,120$3,917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,203.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 12c | 5,018$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.15 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 30c | 4,579$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,362.8 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 31c | 4,531$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.47 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 68c | 3,895$2,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.59 | 220 | 50%110 W · 110 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 37c | 3,428$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.49 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 53c | 3,134$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.29 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 33c | 3,050$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.47 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 2,950$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.48 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 69c | 2,908$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.68 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 21c | 2,426$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 64c | 2,326$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.71 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Yes | 76c | 2,204$1,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.49 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 68c | 2,180$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.63 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,099$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.33 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…5e65backed Yes | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e3…da40backed No | 35c | 2,000$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…6304backed Yes | 69c | 1,888$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.13 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 31c | 1,870$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.35 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Yes | 55c | 1,850$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +172%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed Yes | 67c | 1,570$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.13 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 78c | 1,497$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.41 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed No | 31c | 1,354$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 40c | 1,101$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.35 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 66c | 1,009$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.09 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Yes | 68c | 999.99$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 65c | 898.89$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.29 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4540…d61abacked No | 29c | 880$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 67c | 852.22$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.22 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 71c | 826.55$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.28 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…072dbacked Yes | 58c | 797.01$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.01 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xda86…8796backed No | 29c | 685$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb252…70a1backed No | 29c | 685$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…db98backed Yes | 64c | 674.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 54c | 666.4$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.53 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 66c | 639.86$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.55 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 70c | 629.87$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.87 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…8ad7backed Yes | 66c | 608.71$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66f…a19bbacked Yes | 44c | 600$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 420 | 43.8%184 W · 236 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked No | 37c | 586$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fce…7159backed No | 37c | 566$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 36c | 555.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 64c | 555$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x357c…1ea1backed No | 35c | 529.32$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9e…7505backed Yes | 56c | 524.48$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.77 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5b…ecd4backed Yes | 65c | 521.37$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked No | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 51c | 496.76$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.97 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked No | 36c | 486.49$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.14 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 34c | 472.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 64c | 468.86$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…2bd2backed No | 33c | 452.65$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 48c | 448.63$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.34 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…4875backed Yes | 71c | 435$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 67c | 427.84$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.19 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed No | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 407$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 68c | 400$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…5814backed Yes | 71c | 380$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No | 14c | 379.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.07 | 138 | 37%51 W · 87 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 27c | 358.2$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 34c | 350.25$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.01 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9315…89acbacked Yes | 65c | 348.31$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 57c | 342$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.16 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…5146backed No | 29c | 330$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe858…6145backed No | 37c | 329.95$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 54c | 318$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…0e08backed No | 29c | 315$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f0f2backed Yes | 71c | 315$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbc…a87dbacked Yes | 64c | 312.05$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 245 | 66.1%162 W · 83 L | +24.5wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 67c | 299.11$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.11 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…0ed3backed Yes | 71c | 290$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 69c | 287.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1888…fb0ebacked Yes | 71c | 285$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e0…8412backed Yes | 74c | 283.2$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…7a1dbacked Yes | 71c | 280$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…dc8abacked Yes | 71c | 275$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…ea44backed Yes | 71c | 275$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…1d40backed No | 29c | 275$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…072ebacked Yes | 66c | 270.5$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda41…9b18backed Yes | 64c | 262.97$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869e…2f30backed No | 35c | 260.57$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…16e2backed No | 37c | 256.62$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…253bbacked Yes | 71c | 255$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-05-16?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Manchester United end in a draw?No won
- Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.