Premier League · resolved market
Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98c8a829db98c7625c3d9040b05f089867a1fa56f886d7593eb0ea0026781a2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $406,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $513,984
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed No | 41c | 94,983$38,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,041.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…5f66backed No | 41c | 35,114$14,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,717.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…de5ebacked Yes | 59c | 30,555$18,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,027.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Yes | 59c | 22,740$13,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,416.72 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked No | 40c | 20,461$8,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,288.51 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…49c3backed Yes | 62c | 20,147$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Yes | 26c | 18,900$4,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,901 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 44c | 12,571$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,017.2 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 61c | 11,502$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 61c | 11,006$6,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,693 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 39c | 8,170$3,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,952.99 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Yes | 59c | 8,067$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x549f…c945backed No | 41c | 8,016$3,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,745.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Yes | 59c | 4,087$2,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.39 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7da…63d7backed Yes | 59c | 3,910$2,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…e9cdbacked No | 46c | 3,518$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…2adbbacked Yes | 60c | 3,500$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,769.97 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 63c | 2,816$1,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.16 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Yes | 48c | 2,794$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.29 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 54c | 2,778$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 68c | 2,571$1,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745.9 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 43c | 2,435$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.5 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Yes | 63c | 2,370$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 42c | 2,104$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.35 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…8091backed Yes | 56c | 1,887$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 33c | 1,658$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.4 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Yes | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 43cpaid | +66.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Yes | 56c | 1,611$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,449$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.16 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Yes | 62c | 1,322$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.07 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 277 | 52%144 W · 133 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…38cebacked Yes | 60c | 1,250$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,195$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.05 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 60c | 1,000$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…6575backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 59c | 999.99$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86ac…1dd1backed No | 41c | 950$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 59c | 940.68$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked No | 49c | 885.38$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4db1…7a85backed Yes | 51c | 881.5$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…8b01backed Yes | 58c | 862$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb399…95a8backed Yes | 61c | 855$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 20c | 841.51$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0bc1backed Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Yes | 57c | 786.41$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.09 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ef…3cbebacked No | 39c | 755$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 60c | 750$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…423fbacked Yes | 60c | 715.42$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.25 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed No | 76c | 664.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.85 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 39c | 649.99$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.5 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…9913backed Yes | 59c | 649$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…6deabacked Yes | 14c | 631.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed No | 47c | 591.23$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.87 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3aad…4e00backed Yes | 60c | 583.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 41c | 537.98$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.41 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0678…9fd0backed Yes | 49c | 499.99$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…9fd9backed Yes | 59c | 462.07$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.12 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9968…a104backed Yes | 59c | 432$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…bc89backed Yes | 60c | 416.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes | 35c | 345.16$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.79 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 59c | 335.98$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.41 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Yes | 60c | 334.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 60c | 332.87$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.06 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 56c | 325$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.12 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 62c | 322.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.15 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…73b7backed Yes | 54c | 314.91$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 44c | 314.73$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.65 | 342 | 51.8%177 W · 165 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 61c | 305.54$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.39 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Yes | 60c | 304.48$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 60c | 300$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb913…b77ebacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 36c | 270$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 38c | 257.93$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.77 | 834 | 59.4%495 W · 339 L | +25.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x875b…d883backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Yes | 56c | 250$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9c14backed Yes | 31c | 250$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…1219backed Yes | 54c | 250$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc00…d9e8backed No | 39c | 245$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf52b…ff3fbacked No | 39c | 245$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4770…8fa6backed No | 40c | 243.18$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.91 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3e…271dbacked No | 39c | 240.9$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…6467backed No | 39c | 232.36$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…109ebacked No | 39c | 225.36$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd548…9713backed Yes | 60c | 209$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 39c | 201.39$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…2391backed Yes | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Yes | 58c | 199.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 73cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes | 59c | 197.9$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.78 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…9642backed Yes | 58c | 172.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 61c | 164.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.