Premier League · resolved market
Will Brentford win on 2025-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x592d8e8bab54993c957b602451b3fbfb09ee16c81fda502624de8be38d3c2a5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Yes | 16c | 9,976$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.05 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 13c | 4,310$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.98 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Yes | 2c | 3,064$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.2wins | +0.29per pick | 35cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 16c | 2,305$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.72 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…567bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,209$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.32 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 270 | 24.8%67 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Yes | 16c | 855.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.86 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Yes | 14c | 698.46$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.11 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 17c | 668.6$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.66 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 11c | 503.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Yes | 17c | 458.9$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 7c | 409.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.17 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 10c | 300$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…0898backed Yes | 19c | 279.24$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…9c14backed Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0041…7dccbacked Yes | 18c | 188.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 139.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd132…2cb5backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brentford win on 2025-04-12?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Brentford end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Arsenal win on 2025-04-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.