TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof 76ers, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$481,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $481,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks48c51,838$24,682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,156.1747656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed 76ers50c28,486$14,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,270.2722049.1%108 W · 112 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bucks79c26,013$20,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,534.8736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked 76ers28c13,564$3,833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,833.0133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed 76ers57c12,996$7,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,436.973,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a4…83cebacked 76ers28c10,905$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002937.9%11 W · 18 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick28cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed 76ers58c8,514$4,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,944.3176249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59cf…4275backed 76ers59c8,510$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…cc9fbacked 76ers60c8,500$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e55…e3b9backed Bucks40c8,500$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked 76ers9c7,772$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9314040%56 W · 84 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed 76ers37c7,087$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,642.434532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x719d…4e73backed Bucks43c7,057$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,053.811834.7%41 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f0…79e4backed 76ers56c6,901$3,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,864.49850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed 76ers57c6,294$3,587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.3837448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02ae…0e43backed Bucks44c6,100$2,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4161172.7%8 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick42cpaid+96.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked 76ers59c5,932$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,499.8736247.2%171 W · 191 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a93…ecf9backed 76ers60c5,544$3,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,326.2411250.9%57 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked 76ers57c5,219$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,97029652.7%156 W · 140 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88db…3843backed Bucks54c5,162$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.5317546.3%81 W · 94 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa074…49c3backed Bucks41c5,122$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,021.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Bucks42c5,112$2,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,964.9664517.1%110 W · 535 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873c…ac48backed 76ers46c5,098$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.1125833.7%87 W · 171 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked 76ers59c5,000$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95080146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed 76ers46c5,000$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.021,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed 76ers1c4,782$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.821,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked 76ers57c4,248$2,421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,421.0720047%94 W · 106 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Bucks41c4,000$1,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,36047542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Bucks53c4,000$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,88043653.2%232 W · 204 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Bucks50c3,699$1,831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,867.7250245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed 76ers62c3,654$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,248.7612663.5%80 W · 46 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked 76ers9c3,562$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.611,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed 76ers0c3,530$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1242434.4%146 W · 278 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd126…267bbacked Bucks40c3,400$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a8…b139backed 76ers60c3,400$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-58.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed 76ers0c3,155$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Bucks48c3,000$1,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,569.9932130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd61c…5953backed Bucks48c2,700$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4041050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…f94abacked 76ers52c2,698$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,402.891338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed 76ers1c2,351$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.827502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks46c2,281$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,231.5520238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Bucks39c2,178$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.7817047.1%80 W · 90 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3603…ac36backed Bucks47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.6611355.8%63 W · 50 L+10.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xda6b…20bebacked Bucks47c2,128$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.668343.4%36 W · 47 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Bucks48c2,127$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,100.421455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bucks40c2,114$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,269.851,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed 76ers1c2,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee15…b6dbbacked Bucks40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe626…2fe6backed 76ers72c1,969$1,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4189572.6%69 W · 26 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Bucks50c1,902$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95130440.5%123 W · 181 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Bucks52c1,617$848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.3661345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf650…3109backed 76ers25c1,615$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.8911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-85.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9ea…70a4backed Bucks75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4008100%8 W · 0 L+3.1wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+93.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Bucks45c1,600$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.0570640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked 76ers64c1,554$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00016261.7%100 W · 62 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked 76ers57c1,507$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.846152.5%32 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Bucks39c1,500$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91073051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed 76ers2c1,493$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8611428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed 76ers26c1,445$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.495,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x116f…2737backed 76ers60c1,317$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-60.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x641b…6116backed 76ers62c1,281$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.987349.3%36 W · 37 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf482…d3c3backed Bucks44c1,244$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7029534.7%33 W · 62 L+7.9wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed 76ers48c1,122$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7322039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3c4a…15c7backed Bucks47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.927150.7%36 W · 35 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x920d…38adbacked 76ers48c1,036$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009849%48 W · 50 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed 76ers48c1,028$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.6988053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked 76ers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa67…0ef4backed 76ers33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308016.3%13 W · 67 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick19cpaid-27.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbed…aa02backed 76ers15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15022721.6%49 W · 178 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Bucks45c999.99$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5508547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed 76ers47c999.89$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Bucks47c969.42$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.795358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed 76ers47c929.97$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$437.099250%46 W · 46 L+10.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Bucks41c917.07$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.078952.8%47 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cf0…fd3abacked 76ers26c911.61$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.115127.5%14 W · 37 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+49.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc9…f4e3backed Bucks68c864.03$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9ed…5ec1backed Bucks44c800.88$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.49862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks41c800$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47251037.5%191 W · 319 L+1.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked 76ers55c787.09$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.916844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed 76ers49c774$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.8977745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed 76ers55c772.09$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.657636.8%28 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed 76ers53c735$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.1333752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…1219backed Bucks53c700$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.823658.1%137 W · 99 L+0.7wins0.00per pick58cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a8…3783backed 76ers4c699.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+35.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d80…5fd8backed Bucks44c634.54$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.630251.7%156 W · 146 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks47c604.99$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.2585542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe505…d18bbacked 76ers48c602.26$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.086253.2%33 W · 29 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6ac…b899backed Bucks52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886943.5%30 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked 76ers48c590$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.125016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78fa…103abacked 76ers10c587.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.31241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked 76ers52c544.34$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.871,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Bucks36c510$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.219033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Bucks45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2751,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked 76ers46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23068642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9691…8478backed 76ers2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102040%8 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid-4.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Bucks49c499.92$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2350453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked 76ers45c498.77$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.4519448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked 76ers63c495.88$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.1522950.7%116 W · 113 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce2…9c99backed Bucks44c495.46$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7797…14a7backed 76ers58c493.1$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2861650%8 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.