Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5549d7ed03d7a5a0552525b4d5620fdee736670c7ccb3e3ebb27ca8592b9e111
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50ac…a924backed No | 62c | 6,228$3,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.65 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes | 29c | 3,532$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.37 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b79…216cbacked Yes | 38c | 2,450$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 2,046$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 69c | 1,200$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed Yes | 65c | 1,042$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed No | 59c | 668.17$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.02 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3db…b00fbacked Yes | 40c | 650.61$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…7a8cbacked Yes | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 33c | 498.1$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…59ebbacked Yes | 42c | 477.01$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 25c | 474.34$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d86…ea87backed Yes | 36c | 450$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 38c | 367$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.46 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x158c…8a3fbacked Yes | 32c | 326.27$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed No | 62c | 325.94$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.94 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…fa12backed Yes | 32c | 310$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ab…01cabacked Yes | 37c | 300.46$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed Yes | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 24c | 291$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3353…fd4dbacked Yes | 36c | 279.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 65c | 270.24$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.76 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dea…2feebacked Yes | 42c | 270$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 24c | 209.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…df65backed Yes | 27c | 185$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 54c | 179.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8c…9088backed Yes | 41c | 179.46$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…aa1ebacked Yes | 39c | 177.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Yes | 32c | 175.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.32 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 170.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 27c | 169$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7e…b9a2backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d53…86d5backed Yes | 33c | 120$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 32c | 113.12$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c6…8cc9backed Yes | 40c | 100.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4122…6c07backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fff…923abacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed Yes | 38c | 99.98$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05d…0539backed Yes | 28c | 97.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 35c | 95.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 33c | 95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 20c | 84.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f1…7032backed No | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 295 | 50.2%148 W · 147 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 40c | 76.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…297fbacked No | 72c | 75.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2864…6d24backed Yes | 27c | 65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4592…bab3backed Yes | 45c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 26c | 60.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 38c | 60.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac3e…8150backed No | 63c | 58.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fc…9637backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…ee4bbacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0dd…3d2cbacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…2913backed No | 78c | 43.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc77c…b331backed Yes | 46c | 43.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 65c | 43.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…8363backed Yes | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Yes | 45c | 38.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…050cbacked Yes | 29c | 38.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…5e83backed Yes | 32c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf1…6fefbacked Yes | 42c | 33.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b8…6742backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4169…98e9backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed No | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 378 | 32.5%123 W · 255 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c07…7a3ebacked No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? this page
- Will GamerLegion win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will HEROIC win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will MOUZ win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will OG win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will REKONIX win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? Yes won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Tundra Esports win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win Blast Slam VI? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.