Dota2 · resolved market
Will OG win Blast Slam VI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49ef839ffe905f4139f5c91684addaa4aa5a2022a874e41ff6b0902c9500b884
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 3,908$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 14c | 3,480$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 10c | 3,300$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.16 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 5c | 813.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…1c0abacked Yes | 15c | 706.36$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.35 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 12c | 546.45$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 9c | 415.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x018b…fadbbacked Yes | 15c | 339.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf956…644dbacked Yes | 15c | 334.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 318.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 11c | 289.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f02…92e0backed Yes | 15c | 258.33$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 12c | 255$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 11c | 241.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…c826backed Yes | 20c | 237.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…6755backed Yes | 20c | 217.72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6020…0330backed Yes | 17c | 204.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…32f9backed Yes | 15c | 201.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…c3e6backed Yes | 20c | 172.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 137.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf917…8ca4backed Yes | 17c | 128.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810f…643dbacked Yes | 24c | 127.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c40…3175backed Yes | 20c | 126.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7985…f134backed Yes | 15c | 125.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b3…3789backed Yes | 14c | 124.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa5…8f79backed Yes | 12c | 121.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebb…57f4backed Yes | 19c | 107.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e36…e5ccbacked Yes | 15c | 67.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…2f5abacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OG win Blast Slam VI? this page
- Will GamerLegion win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will HEROIC win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will MOUZ win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will REKONIX win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? Yes won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Tundra Esports win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win Blast Slam VI? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.