Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a75ecd147dbe626b78ae75f212f10c7f3ace5e3c4bc6adc9f2735831d6e30b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,698
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 14c | 3,598$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed Yes | 53c | 3,299$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.66 | 172 | 48.3%83 W · 89 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 12c | 2,643$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.54 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 11c | 1,117$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.01 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 6c | 818.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.09 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f5…795bbacked Yes | 66c | 609.98$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.5 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2760…ef06backed Yes | 76c | 568.38$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.43 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 4c | 557.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 10cpaid | +267.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb759…ed73backed Yes | 25c | 516.12$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.85 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…9457backed Yes | 64c | 320$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5014…59ebbacked Yes | 72c | 278.47$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2355…4869backed Yes | 13c | 227.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.22 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 18c | 199.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 8c | 197.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.92per pick | 8cpaid | +1,134.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 63c | 188.11$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.73 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Yes | 60c | 184.55$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 57 | 71.9%41 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x209f…0eb4backed Yes | 66c | 180$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…169fbacked No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6543…ecbabacked Yes | 60c | 165.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed Yes | 67c | 148.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.72 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 13c | 148.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 53c | 143.18$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…99d6backed Yes | 72c | 139.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4734…2b7fbacked No | 30c | 136.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…933dbacked Yes | 72c | 130.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 127.58$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.7 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 9c | 121.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.39 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…98f9backed Yes | 75c | 106.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b43…31cebacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 35c | 97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 49c | 89.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeca…9f54backed Yes | 73c | 87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…4851backed Yes | 64c | 77.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 42c | 72.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Yes | 29c | 69.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +39%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac4…d6a4backed Yes | 69c | 64.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 32c | 62.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf8…bf8cbacked Yes | 73c | 49.36$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb2…0e92backed Yes | 38c | 33.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d90…1e8bbacked Yes | 65c | 28.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 80c | 27.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f76…1d92backed Yes | 74c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3398…9421backed Yes | 70c | 25.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a1…9c88backed Yes | 44c | 25.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…bf84backed Yes | 75c | 24.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9394…63bebacked Yes | 74c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…ba79backed Yes | 74c | 17.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…4eaabacked Yes | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? this page
- Will GamerLegion win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will HEROIC win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will MOUZ win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will OG win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will REKONIX win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Tundra Esports win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win Blast Slam VI? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.