Dota2 · resolved market
Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe33d50569d4e6b6c3bb0ca9837ba30fefa8f7b56ba5f8f59d1c7ad64222012e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,720
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,720 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa00d…6ffdbacked Yes | 17c | 3,954$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Yes | 17c | 2,931$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.2 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed Yes | 14c | 1,522$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.84 | 170 | 23.5%40 W · 130 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e0…c394backed Yes | 26c | 1,287$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.76 | 807 | 42.6%344 W · 463 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 16c | 504.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…7255backed Yes | 9c | 491$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…a65dbacked Yes | 13c | 430$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 14c | 396.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 254.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed Yes | 14c | 248.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 205 | 30.7%63 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x158c…8a3fbacked Yes | 22c | 223.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 17c | 203.18$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 152.47$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 14c | 139.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 134$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed Yes | 23c | 131.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…dbe6backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 111.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 78 | 30.8%24 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 702 | 36.6%257 W · 445 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6698…e620backed Yes | 12c | 92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 15c | 76.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9460…9c1abacked Yes | 19c | 70.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 19c | 69.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe62…edeebacked Yes | 30c | 67.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…23c7backed Yes | 30c | 67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eab…5ceabacked Yes | 32c | 62.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…203abacked Yes | 21c | 62.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 20c | 60.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce1f…7392backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 678 | 53.5%363 W · 315 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 73c | 58.77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 49.17$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI? this page
- Will GamerLegion win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will HEROIC win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will MOUZ win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Natus Vincere win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will OG win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will REKONIX win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? Yes won
- Will Team Spirit win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Tundra Esports win Blast Slam VI? No won
- Will Xtreme Gaming win Blast Slam VI? No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.