TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9acc…42ce

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Movies, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Movies at 53 out of 100; worst Music at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-64.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oliver Adams Larkin be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.74
Will Jared Moskowitz be the Democratic Nominee for FL-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.14
Will Elijah Manley be the Democratic nominee for FL-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.96
Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.21
Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.42
Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.92
Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.48
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.54
Will Laura Gillen be the Democratic nominee for NY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.1
Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.72
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.04
Will Lindsay James be the Democratic Nominee for IA-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Terri Pickens win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.63
Will Sean Casten be the Democratic Nominee for IL-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
All 19 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.29
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.93
Will OpenAI have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.01
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+108.8%+$123.69
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+123.4%+$32.41
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15.03
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.84
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.42
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+63.7%+$30.43
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$24.83
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+52.2%+$22.46
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$18.17
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+153.1%+$27.36
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.14
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.8
Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.31
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+61.1%+$125.58
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.52
Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$26.14
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.34
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+102.9%+$32.25
Will Juan Pablo Velasco win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$9.46
Will Bhumjaithai Party (BJT) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+182.6%+$23.22
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+26.6%+$17.01
All 12 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-85.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Music — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stateside + Zara Larsson - PinkPantheress, Zara Larsson" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.23
Will The Life Of A Showgirl by Taylor Swift be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20.17
Will Piss in the Wind by Joji be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11.91
Will End of Beginning - Djo be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.15
Will Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$74.15
Will I’m The Problem by Morgan Wallen be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25.67
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$27.88
Will "Idols - YUNGBLUD" win Best Rock Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.09
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$11.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+64.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Yandex win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.58
Will Team Falcons win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$31
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+86.8%+$12.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+50.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+50.3%+$12.79
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Team Melo win the 2026 NBA Rising Stars Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.87
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.