AI · resolved market
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x778753aa781abceecf077ab194520eac194c5ab99d11aa55fe3649c21023b2e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 220 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3c59…1766backed Yes | 10c | 9,933$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.8 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +12.9wins | +0.20per pick | 33cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fa…3248backed Yes | 4c | 8,196$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20fb…e5fabacked Yes | 58c | 5,236$3,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +353.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 18c | 4,564$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.64 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…ed88backed Yes | 54c | 4,213$2,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,255.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 38c | 3,000$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.97 | 114 | 25.4%29 W · 85 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 15c | 2,224$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.21 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…09f7backed Yes | 58c | 1,871$1,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af4…89b4backed Yes | 7c | 1,212$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 12c | 1,041$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.03 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,010$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 12c | 1,001$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.66 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…f9ccbacked Yes | 77c | 887.76$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…6f61backed Yes | 2c | 835.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 16cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ab…6943backed Yes | 15c | 819.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 42c | 802.76$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.81 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4326…c3a8backed Yes | 68c | 773.9$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.3 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.33per pick | 44cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed Yes | 13c | 706.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9d…e31bbacked Yes | 15c | 666.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 35cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 63c | 614.51$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc5…e19abacked No | 49c | 570.3$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3b…412fbacked Yes | 23c | 564.21$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc01…d914backed Yes | 9c | 512.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked Yes | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 32cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14cb…1d0cbacked Yes | 4c | 490$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 446.84$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.33 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd9…714ebacked Yes | 70c | 432.87$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 6c | 430$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 71 | 7%5 W · 66 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 401.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 6c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 86 | 5.8%5 W · 81 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…c1d5backed Yes | 5c | 399.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12e…25acbacked Yes | 7c | 393.13$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 5c | 392.45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 117 | 5.1%6 W · 111 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4252…4a6ebacked Yes | 79c | 379.25$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 17c | 351.16$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 67c | 340$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.85 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 68c | 323.03$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.31 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29e9…fec1backed Yes | 6c | 315.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +7.8wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa142…375abacked Yes | 69c | 291.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 69c | 287.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 268.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 10c | 263.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed39…60dcbacked Yes | 17c | 259.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 7c | 253.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf47…326ebacked Yes | 69c | 226.87$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfadb…75e7backed Yes | 13c | 224.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 118 | 50%59 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 44c | 217.09$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.91 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 203.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 252 | 2%5 W · 247 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…82b1backed Yes | 74c | 202.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.59 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9dd…55c4backed Yes | 50c | 201.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b2…1a2dbacked Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 894 | 17.1%153 W · 741 L | -145.2wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 9c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 55 | 3.6%2 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b11…d869backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…7070backed Yes | 12c | 198$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…639cbacked Yes | 70c | 196.73$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 7c | 185.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 78 | 24.4%19 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16a1…a8cfbacked Yes | 75c | 166.49$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f82…8f58backed Yes | 70c | 155.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked No | 33c | 152.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.32 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 15c | 151.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +19.9wins | +0.24per pick | 23cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dc…0b72backed Yes | 69c | 130.31$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 9c | 129.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 304 | 2%6 W · 298 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 69c | 107.73$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.12 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 47c | 105.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 111 | 24.3%27 W · 84 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2f…57aabacked Yes | 20c | 105$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852b…7af0backed Yes | 70c | 100.43$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5064…bd21backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd476…ad00backed Yes | 69c | 96.52$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…ec1dbacked Yes | 69c | 92.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.45 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…d896backed Yes | 62c | 84.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bb…e1c5backed Yes | 21c | 82.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…4f8cbacked Yes | 24c | 81.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce3…b486backed Yes | 76c | 80.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…7421backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…bd40backed Yes | 26c | 78.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6674…c516backed Yes | 62c | 77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ebb…44c9backed Yes | 70c | 76.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…d79ebacked Yes | 68c | 74.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…0082backed Yes | 68c | 74.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffc…9107backed Yes | 68c | 73.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…2968backed Yes | 35c | 71.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…4153backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…6e0dbacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…a977backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…392abacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…e369backed Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae05…6d6cbacked Yes | 79c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…ac43backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd763…cbc2backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2740…c5b7backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…b626backed Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…fc5fbacked Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8638…6a0bbacked Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x323c…8cafbacked Yes | 78c | 70$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45ca…ec72backed Yes | 80c | 70$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?this page
- Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No won
- Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?Yes won
- Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No won
- Will JumpJumpVPN: Fast & Secure be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No won
- Will Paramount+ be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No won
- Will V2Box - V2ray Client be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.