TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6ffc…9107

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Weather, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.94
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be the #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+152.7%+$76.36
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+49.8%+$49.81
Will UpScrolled be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$800Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+298.8%+$2,390.14
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+270.1%+$135.06
Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Freecash - Get Paid Real Money be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+260.8%+$130.38
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+51.6%+$51.61
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+40.6%+$141.99
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+26%+$26.03
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+64.9%+$129.81
Will Shop: All your favorite brands be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+66.7%+$33.33
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+56.9%+$170.7
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+74.5%+$93.08
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 59-60°F on November 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$320Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+38.4%+$122.84
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$310
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 53-54°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+114.9%+$17.24
All 7 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$28.11
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+29.9%+$20.91
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$17.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.