World Politics · resolved market
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x298c1f792047c48c2f0eec27db700357599b31075d0c1917f4c611425d58c971
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 233 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x991d…419ebacked Yes | 14c | 13,471$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5267…548fbacked Yes | 56c | 5,966$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507b…0742backed No | 76c | 4,050$3,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…0adfbacked Yes | 32c | 3,914$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…1c24backed Yes | 42c | 3,155$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.12 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,299$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.35 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a73…6910backed Yes | 5c | 2,281$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 58c | 2,083$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.05 | 69 | 14.5%10 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 38c | 2,077$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68a7…e72abacked Yes | 36c | 1,896$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf79…d5b0backed Yes | 31c | 1,605$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed No | 45c | 1,604$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.6wins | +0.52per pick | 34cpaid | +219.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…b15bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,567$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,505$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.69 | 261 | 39.8%104 W · 157 L | +16.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 66c | 1,494$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.48 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a82…4edfbacked Yes | 53c | 1,457$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7630…068dbacked Yes | 52c | 1,354$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0b…1ea5backed Yes | 20c | 1,148$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5736…7518backed Yes | 47c | 1,043$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed No | 45c | 1,038$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.9 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…f18cbacked Yes | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.76 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa056…0f70backed Yes | 33c | 909.86$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 32c | 874.83$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.66 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e73…a236backed No | 47c | 824.4$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.52 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 55c | 819$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2d…7111backed Yes | 23c | 785.54$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed Yes | 55c | 776$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…5483backed No | 44c | 683.52$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 67cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x622a…8528backed Yes | 26c | 615$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 46c | 613.97$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.55 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…2810backed Yes | 27c | 579.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb46…8699backed Yes | 71c | 559.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…9416backed No | 45c | 557$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f8…2d1dbacked Yes | 76c | 525.49$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…ad6bbacked No | 74c | 525.28$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.47 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…a1efbacked Yes | 69c | 500$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.22 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…cb87backed Yes | 43c | 468.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedb9…148ebacked Yes | 54c | 467.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f8…7de7backed No | 64c | 466$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.5 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 54cpaid | +49%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a00ebacked Yes | 47c | 446.58$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f9…6e94backed No | 46c | 438.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a3…7739backed No | 61c | 406$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12f4…2e5ebacked No | 71c | 399.51$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 68c | 389.22$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.27 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32c9…719bbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 27c | 367.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…3caabacked Yes | 31c | 360.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 47c | 356.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.67 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…e39dbacked Yes | 33c | 355.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…054ebacked Yes | 31c | 340.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…5fc2backed Yes | 32c | 322.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Yes | 34c | 319.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf619…5228backed Yes | 32c | 314.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…fa04backed Yes | 56c | 311.87$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe41…4c90backed Yes | 32c | 310.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x093c…a893backed Yes | 35c | 309.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 69c | 308.11$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.77 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6df2…905bbacked Yes | 32c | 308.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…c306backed Yes | 27c | 304.79$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…26ffbacked No | 50c | 302.04$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…8067backed Yes | 34c | 295.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fe…6991backed Yes | 34c | 290$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…4ac0backed No | 69c | 279.57$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5104…a114backed Yes | 36c | 275.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 31cpaid | +175.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2021…d379backed No | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 263.12$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…b520backed Yes | 26c | 262.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…b2e8backed Yes | 43c | 255.48$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 28c | 253.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714f…66d5backed Yes | 24c | 251.67$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.4 | 110 | 20.9%23 W · 87 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed No | 66c | 242.77$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef0…fb63backed Yes | 38c | 233.14$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b3…53f0backed Yes | 49c | 225.39$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc67b…fb04backed Yes | 23c | 218.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3d…7a79backed Yes | 78c | 215.63$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9811…2b33backed Yes | 30c | 200.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x155e…69b7backed Yes | 30c | 200.03$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bb…3621backed Yes | 25c | 200$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00df…7f26backed Yes | 31c | 199.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed No | 42c | 196$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 28c | 190.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.01 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 48c | 187.46$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.54 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e19…eb4cbacked Yes | 54c | 185.94$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -36%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbb…07aabacked Yes | 56c | 179.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Yes | 56c | 177.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.17 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01e…b5c9backed Yes | 58c | 173$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…b1c3backed Yes | 38c | 172.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 10c | 172.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.26 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 76c | 164$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 311 | 52.4%163 W · 148 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Yes | 27c | 156.22$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb25…3c61backed Yes | 25c | 149.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…325cbacked Yes | 34c | 147.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab4…e6bdbacked Yes | 38c | 145.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 66c | 144.93$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed No | 57c | 142.55$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.85 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 57c | 140.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 57c | 140.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…f1dbbacked Yes | 33c | 140.36$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…57febacked Yes | 58c | 138.58$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52e8…2899backed Yes | 20c | 138.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Communist Party of India (CPI) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will the Janata Dal (Secular) (JD(S)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.