Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30b8301e5003c810b41dd84cd3d4db213eeb4cc853f81996ebe9df5f425e058d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 5c | 2,967$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.77 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…3afdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,050$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…4f4dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,693$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…bb2fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,664$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 5c | 1,081$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 19c | 208.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 334 | 21.9%73 W · 261 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed No | 79c | 191$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 12c | 174$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 7c | 150$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 9c | 149.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 67 | 10.4%7 W · 60 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b9…5f57backed Yes | 25c | 147$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 16c | 146$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 21c | 137$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6e…88adbacked No | 80c | 131$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 9c | 130$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 9c | 119.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfda…5709backed No | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae6…7485backed Yes | 19c | 94.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9464…b4cbbacked Yes | 21c | 85$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 79c | 85$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…857bbacked Yes | 20c | 82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…596dbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed Yes | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 21c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +60%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2971…b901backed Yes | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 75c | 51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +99%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5986…83e3backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…bd0ebacked Yes | 21c | 49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed No | 79c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 47cpaid | +136.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chris Carr win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Brad Raffensperger win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Burt Jones win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Gregg Kirkpatrick win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.