Music · resolved market
Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3142f65e9e8e38c50ef433edd8c628a0eed8400d7774292f5b006fb9fa820897
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 2c | 4,250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…c6b5backed No | 1c | 4,229$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…fb1abacked No | 1c | 3,667$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 13c | 3,367$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.63 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 18c | 1,469$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,204.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 18c | 1,155$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.1 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed Yes | 18c | 996$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 19c | 957$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 18c | 900$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +134.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 72c | 881.3$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.06 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -53%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 19c | 879$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.99 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc2…297bbacked Yes | 18c | 731$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +241.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6307…0447backed Yes | 18c | 731$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +261.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…81c0backed Yes | 18c | 691$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 18c | 683$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed Yes | 18c | 665$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +248.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82dd…5514backed Yes | 18c | 648$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 18c | 629$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Yes | 18c | 627$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 77c | 565.79$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.9 | 22 | 95.5%21 W · 1 L | +6.9wins | +0.31per pick | 64cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 18c | 552$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.64 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987e…990dbacked Yes | 19c | 466$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3f…6e13backed Yes | 18c | 463$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 19c | 441$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 18c | 418$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.76 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…24efbacked Yes | 19c | 413$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecb…b5e3backed Yes | 18c | 411$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.02 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 18c | 368$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 23cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 18c | 361$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +455.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d6…0511backed Yes | 18c | 299$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 18c | 267$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c2…ca53backed Yes | 18c | 259$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked Yes | 18c | 252$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611f…1f84backed Yes | 18c | 251$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 18c | 241$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +184.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 56c | 234$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.57 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be9…c030backed No | 35c | 230$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 18c | 205$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 23c | 152.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.17 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 18c | 127$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +193.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…d40bbacked Yes | 18c | 126$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed Yes | 18c | 120$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cf…78c4backed No | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked Yes | 19c | 86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 41c | 84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.17 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 71c | 52.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 75c | 44.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -85.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 72c | 36.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 48 | 75%36 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 53c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 391 | 16.1%63 W · 328 L | -44.4wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?this page
- Will "Manchild - Sabrina Carpenter" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
- Will "So Be It - Clipse" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.