AI · resolved market
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a04f2f64cee99eeeba895e3d9ccbeaaf8affaa33846737926f14b2d98d258b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,015
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,856
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,015 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55d0…f655backed Yes | 44c | 6,517$2,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,655.65 | 201 | 30.3%61 W · 140 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9982…23c1backed Yes | 77c | 4,811$3,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.35 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33db…417abacked Yes | 72c | 2,731$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.14 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 3c | 2,400$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 629 | 1.3%8 W · 621 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb9…3870backed Yes | 39c | 1,596$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.12 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28b2…eb4fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,575$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.08 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…321ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,274$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.41 | 70 | 20%14 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 33c | 1,211$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.32 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb120…f2ffbacked Yes | 65c | 1,060$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.24 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 27c | 782.83$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.82 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +11.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 24c | 749.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.91 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…5f53backed Yes | 72c | 604.21$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.06 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 65c | 599.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed Yes | 67c | 552.85$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.85 | 369 | 45.3%167 W · 202 L | +29.3wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a80…729cbacked No | 58c | 541.58$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.31 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…3363backed Yes | 43c | 475.18$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 51c | 402.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.89 | 183 | 23%42 W · 141 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…89ccbacked Yes | 43c | 373.8$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…76a1backed Yes | 44c | 370.81$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.34 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842f…9444backed Yes | 57c | 290.28$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d57…4e09backed No | 55c | 281.47$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…4e93backed Yes | 77c | 234.12$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.93 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 7c | 219.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 38c | 210$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 146 | 43.8%64 W · 82 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 10c | 199.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 279 | 2.5%7 W · 272 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…916fbacked No | 54c | 188.74$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.37 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16ef…534fbacked Yes | 34c | 180$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.6wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 28c | 168.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 186 | 7%13 W · 173 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x342c…7f7bbacked Yes | 65c | 154.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.91 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc700…e9efbacked Yes | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5376…5957backed Yes | 45c | 140$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…f664backed Yes | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…8f2cbacked Yes | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc4…3950backed Yes | 45c | 138$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…fe64backed Yes | 45c | 132$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e17…0845backed Yes | 45c | 130$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…e37fbacked Yes | 45c | 129$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c2…3ca7backed Yes | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…18bdbacked Yes | 45c | 126$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ba20backed Yes | 45c | 124$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…23cebacked No | 55c | 118$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ca…3b87backed Yes | 40c | 117.02$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bf…898dbacked No | 55c | 116$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…67c2backed No | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…bcfdbacked No | 55c | 115$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba24…26afbacked No | 55c | 113$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…6efebacked No | 55c | 112$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ce…39dfbacked Yes | 45c | 110.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…26d9backed No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf38…853cbacked No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aeb…47b6backed No | 55c | 110$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab3…b3d0backed No | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eee…4951backed No | 55c | 109$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b3…b5abbacked No | 55c | 107$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8026…2f99backed Yes | 48c | 105.09$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec1…e641backed No | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…628cbacked No | 55c | 104$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 25c | 102$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.34 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ac…1ab5backed No | 55c | 101$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…bd0ebacked Yes | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 297 | 7.7%23 W · 274 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27b…3966backed No | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5742…5e12backed No | 48c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed No | 43c | 88.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -19.3wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb872…5495backed Yes | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc4…7fb1backed Yes | 23c | 85.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 61c | 85.03$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…7908backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +566.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb2…3e05backed Yes | 42c | 78.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 48c | 70.72$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 32c | 67.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47e7…7c61backed No | 49c | 62.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…cf43backed Yes | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 28c | 59.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9acc…42cebacked Yes | 45c | 58.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 50c | 58.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 893 | 17.1%153 W · 740 L | -144.9wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 80c | 45.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 139 | 71.9%100 W · 39 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056c…5066backed Yes | 36c | 41.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01d8…375bbacked Yes | 48c | 38.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f37…5444backed No | 61c | 31.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…6de8backed No | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 40c | 27.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.51 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -5.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…3f46backed No | 59c | 20.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf85a…2d27backed Yes | 80c | 19.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed Yes | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?this page
- Will Alibaba have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will DeepSeek have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will Z.ai have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
- Will xAI have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.