TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$93,383
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,383 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes47c1,619$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.44771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick39cpaid+125%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe87e…4f70backed Yes44c1,516$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.721225%3 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa18…7693backed Yes55c1,450$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.58944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x466e…ed99backed Yes40c1,288$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.81330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x668b…3884backed Yes62c1,285$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.234100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed No47c1,204$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+288.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04da…dc10backed No58c1,169$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.02955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+76%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdfec…09a7backed Yes54c1,148$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked No43c1,111$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.731020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-69.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f52…a35abacked Yes68c1,079$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.331060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+81.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes55c1,060$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.641457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5885…6562backed Yes40c1,005$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6031323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-59.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x750b…7a65backed Yes40c981$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aca…cad6backed Yes40c959$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick44cpaid+199.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked No57c931$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.12616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-72.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No29c913.25$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.963925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick32cpaid+15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8959…50f8backed Yes69c907$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.17580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+29.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bef…1e38backed No59c899$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.41933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes53c869$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.31771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+42.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe17a…c6fbbacked No58c861$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.38728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-47.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…58ccbacked No31c858$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.981136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…c913backed No30c843$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaffd…b072backed Yes70c799$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.7650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fae…6853backed No48c798$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.521030%3 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x81ba…b311backed Yes40c793.56$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.14785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.45per pick41cpaid+207.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0caa…fb12backed No30c777$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.1540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+123.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked No59c774$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.66333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes47c772$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.691225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid+39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes41c764$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.76560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+159.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf55…7d8abacked No51c761$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.111353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d0…f14abacked Yes66c755.41$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.0114947.7%71 W · 78 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xad90…9090backed No54c743$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.221612.5%2 W · 14 L-4.8wins-0.30per pick42cpaid-79.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x04d4…be7cbacked No60c736$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.6633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a94…7154backed Yes43c681.67$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.51650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+149.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6159…7501backed Yes48c678$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+201.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3024…0c79backed Yes53c671$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.37933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-49.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ead…6c75backed Yes40c670$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d05…305bbacked Yes71c647$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.631250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfa71…9767backed No28c633$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.24520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-67.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe918…d166backed No51c614$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.141050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1294…9151backed No47c601$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.471136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f0d…1683backed Yes48c590$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.8666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67f2…6a72backed Yes40c566$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.6825%2 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a5a…779cbacked No54c550$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2971353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ec…46cebacked No31c549$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.19633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58d4…e1efbacked No43c527$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.61520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f5…9dd3backed No59c522$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.98540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed No30c520$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+95.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34be…6797backed No35c519$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.65560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f51…09adbacked No52c507$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.64633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+50.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6891…1146backed No60c507$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-24.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed Yes47c499$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.671266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f5c…91bfbacked Yes46c499$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.361457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe43b…3497backed No60c495$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x385f…3c30backed No60c490$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed No59c487$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.331136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes53c478$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.661163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+85.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6a4…aa57backed No47c473$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.31922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-63.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed No43c458$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.94728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a0…b7bdbacked No60c457$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked No60c455$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2731020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5383…88f0backed No60c444$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.4785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.31per pick55cpaid+154%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbcc1…d40bbacked No31c434$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.54333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-39.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…7fc6backed Yes72c431$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe539…5345backed Yes53c431$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.571172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+48.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7eae…3562backed No60c429$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.4850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+123.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b4b…1fb3backed Yes27c428$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.44683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick41cpaid+140.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No53c425$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1617…ec98backed No41c417$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.47812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick31cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47eb…8195backed Yes72c414$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.92875%6 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb023…6d90backed No61c412$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.73850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…ee5abacked No45c403$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+74.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2247…96e8backed Yes55c403$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.35560%3 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick30cpaid+186%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20a3…24d2backed No33c400$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.7230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d24…a2e9backed No47c397$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.59837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc7…8211backed No60c391$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa400…ec34backed Yes40c391$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.6580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bb…e885backed No50c389$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-74.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc32a…7c05backed No73c388$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid+6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2604…13ccbacked Yes41c387$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.331258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+49.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd19a…5b88backed Yes41c382$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.38540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda64…9bc5backed Yes47c381$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.935100%5 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+114.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe335…cd12backed No59c372$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.48425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-64.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5884…3191backed Yes59c367$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88fa…2cf4backed No52c365$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.8100%0 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x451a…a0c9backed Yes48c365$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.8850%4 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+84.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f33…81f6backed Yes46c364$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.56580%4 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick42cpaid+113.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7546…2d93backed No60c354$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed No72c352$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.981526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid+12.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x048e…6e41backed Yes32c350.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.652313%3 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick19cpaid-73.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff74…24f0backed Yes40c340$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed No60c339$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24e4…09dcbacked Yes38c330$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.09862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae18…1132backed Yes48c329$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x354c…b301backed No52c329$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.081145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec92…1214backed Yes48c325$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1691747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+31.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea90…0f8fbacked No58c323$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.34757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f4…0430backed Yes70c314$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.21050%5 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+68%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x367b…48dabacked No52c312$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.242254.5%12 W · 10 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x71d2…e109backed Yes42c309$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.221030%3 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.