World Politics · resolved market
Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20a3000660f8065bc6710dc1295c7749fd99c56ef185f80f60c3199dd3e0d91a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d60…03d8backed Yes | 18c | 3,280$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.46 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | -9.5wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb766…1d83backed Yes | 11c | 1,471$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 25c | 959$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 23cpaid | +211.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d4…8cf7backed No | 75c | 654$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…5ce9backed No | 72c | 496.22$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Yes | 28c | 380$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked Yes | 30c | 327$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 305.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 167 | 6.6%11 W · 156 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 30c | 295$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed No | 70c | 292$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb28…74f4backed No | 75c | 287$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 33c | 270$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54db…0174backed Yes | 4c | 256.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 196 | 23%45 W · 151 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed No | 67c | 254$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea05…ee65backed Yes | 9c | 247.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a8…1f07backed No | 72c | 242$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked No | 70c | 239$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked No | 70c | 229$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 75c | 220$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…7d68backed Yes | 9c | 212.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2a…3ebdbacked Yes | 9c | 204.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3506…4815backed No | 70c | 202$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8ad4backed Yes | 12c | 199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6457…879ebacked Yes | 7c | 176.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…4084backed Yes | 28c | 170.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…d382backed Yes | 9c | 167.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6bc2backed Yes | 30c | 159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b0e…282abacked Yes | 7c | 156$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +98%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…5c80backed No | 67c | 144$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 31c | 141$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 72c | 140.25$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 30c | 126$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…54a7backed Yes | 30c | 119$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked Yes | 30c | 118.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 30c | 116$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +201.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…5f61backed No | 70c | 116$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dfd…946bbacked Yes | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 70c | 107$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20a…914fbacked Yes | 28c | 95.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked Yes | 31c | 92$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…c6f9backed Yes | 25c | 86.68$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…8adebacked No | 67c | 83$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 29c | 81.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 182 | 16.5%30 W · 152 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed No | 70c | 78$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +288.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1abbbacked Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc9…5856backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 67c | 42.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked No | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FA win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?this page
- Will PENAC win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will PLN win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?Yes won
- Will PPSD win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No won
- Will PPSO win the second most seats in the 2026 Costa Rican Legislative Assembly election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.