World Politics · resolved market
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdcdecdd86db43aa1d0c4ed4fc80142e86597c5383a22eccf006464c29099371c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $999,766
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $999,766 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 364 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 16,748$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.62 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6b…3bd4backed Yes | 4c | 13,297$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabcb…ab28backed Yes | 6c | 11,476$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547c…1059backed Yes | 5c | 11,134$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd88e…c0e3backed Yes | 5c | 8,101$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 31cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8268…b687backed Yes | 5c | 7,930$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 3c | 4,885$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 91 | 23.1%21 W · 70 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 3c | 4,858$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.77 | 444 | 0.7%3 W · 441 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98fe…ef7cbacked Yes | 10c | 4,478$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 4,330$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.93 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 5c | 4,194$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.13 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef0…fc70backed Yes | 2c | 4,151$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…9410backed Yes | 3c | 4,074$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,830$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.02 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…51dbbacked Yes | 1c | 3,769$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6490…29f5backed Yes | 4c | 3,542$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…d311backed Yes | 15c | 3,327$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 5c | 3,282$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…58dcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,121$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5827…0c73backed Yes | 4c | 3,016$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e7…9941backed Yes | 4c | 2,825$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…08d9backed Yes | 5c | 2,795$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…d15fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,745$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…b86fbacked Yes | 3c | 2,710$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Yes | 4c | 2,690$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 12cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c40bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,656$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 28cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb443…ab0fbacked Yes | 9c | 2,617$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf0…176ebacked Yes | 4c | 2,615$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…93e7backed Yes | 4c | 2,612$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d9…70febacked Yes | 4c | 2,579$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…29f3backed Yes | 9c | 2,566$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…0876backed Yes | 10c | 2,505$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f5…e4f1backed Yes | 4c | 2,495$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb968…b94ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,467$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73ef…83f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,448$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,448$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89f…1c44backed Yes | 3c | 2,428$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5909…7847backed Yes | 8c | 2,422$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6b…3cb2backed Yes | 4c | 2,407$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0096…8791backed Yes | 4c | 2,401$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.43 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca8…bf6bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,400$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…7140backed Yes | 4c | 2,367$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c38…c193backed Yes | 4c | 2,348$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef7…0b96backed Yes | 4c | 2,313$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0c…1c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 2,287$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd08a…29b2backed Yes | 3c | 2,277$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed5a…441bbacked Yes | 4c | 2,259$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Yes | 4c | 2,250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.76 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…87bdbacked Yes | 2c | 2,244$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…60fcbacked Yes | 8c | 2,217$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 6c | 2,214$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.57per pick | 18cpaid | +272.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…be72backed Yes | 4c | 2,198$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…c40abacked Yes | 4c | 2,140$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45eb…3ad7backed Yes | 4c | 2,121$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa007…95cdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,106$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6980…fd6cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,097$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea95…15e6backed Yes | 3c | 2,073$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17b7…0cc7backed Yes | 5c | 2,031$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a6…0fe6backed Yes | 4c | 2,016$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91e2…7786backed Yes | 4c | 2,010$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff3…679ebacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a5…ab68backed Yes | 4c | 1,966$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9998…e81bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,929$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa255…246cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,911$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…61a5backed Yes | 5c | 1,908$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5d…bc94backed Yes | 4c | 1,903$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2173…c544backed Yes | 4c | 1,903$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134b…47a6backed Yes | 6c | 1,897$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef9…42b3backed Yes | 10c | 1,892$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0a…9bfcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,843$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 3c | 1,842$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 135 | 7.4%10 W · 125 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b14…31c6backed Yes | 4c | 1,837$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes | 8c | 1,830$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…e8adbacked Yes | 10c | 1,830$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c1…58fdbacked Yes | 10c | 1,820$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff5…4778backed Yes | 4c | 1,785$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x909a…f13cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,768$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…dc89backed Yes | 10c | 1,766$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6e…8626backed Yes | 4c | 1,759$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…40c1backed Yes | 10c | 1,747$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c6f…635fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,743$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66a…6e34backed Yes | 7c | 1,733$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6d8cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,722$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0db…6224backed Yes | 4c | 1,720$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…2089backed Yes | 10c | 1,720$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x002c…4167backed Yes | 9c | 1,715$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa8…ebaabacked Yes | 13c | 1,702$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c90…5decbacked Yes | 2c | 1,685$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffc…2d98backed Yes | 4c | 1,620$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f0…49bcbacked Yes | 10c | 1,606$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1605…f0fbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,582$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703c…62d2backed Yes | 3c | 1,582$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…77d3backed Yes | 4c | 1,565$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4421…3bb4backed Yes | 5c | 1,558$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…8199backed Yes | 13c | 1,551$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…f1c7backed Yes | 3c | 1,546$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2503…3d4dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,545$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.81 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 1,543$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.53 | 234 | 4.3%10 W · 224 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fd…f785backed Yes | 4c | 1,525$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c4…1663backed Yes | 5c | 1,516$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?this page
- Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes won
- Will Jernej Vrtovec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Luka Mesec be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Matej Tonin be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Vladimir Prebilič be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
- Will Zoran Stevanović be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.