TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7cf8…bf8c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Champions League, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 53 out of 100; worst Premier League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT6053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.37
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.77
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.53
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.59
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$103.94
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$208.16
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$104.72
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$79.16
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.65
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$170
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$192.81
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$123.52
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$190.74
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$113.16
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$68.59
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.29
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+56.7%+$207.51
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.33
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$28.69
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$28.66
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$46.01
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+92.3%+$33.15
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$36.8
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.74
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$58.61
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+43.6%+$56.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs TEAM VISION (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$10.69
Will Team Liquid win Blast Slam VI? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+37%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Clippers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$11.06
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.11
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17.56
Will the government shutdown last 7 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$49.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+233.3%+$48.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+159.4%+$59.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$32.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team Heretics vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.