Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4446f12abe3cfe4c2786207a6d2ff1fba0f13b6a4776b9fb51a2772f1bd6c3e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $279,041
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,365
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $279,041 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 64c | 41,766$26,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035.88 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 63c | 35,000$22,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,950 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 37c | 33,712$12,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,473.5 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 19,348$7,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,105.63 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked No | 43c | 16,112$6,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.67 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 50c | 12,849$6,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,445.75 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 63c | 9,843$6,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,635.29 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,959.96 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 35c | 7,940$2,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,779 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649f…993ebacked No | 34c | 7,705$2,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,619.68 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 7,000$4,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 62c | 6,019$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,267.4 | 272 | 35.7%97 W · 175 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Yes | 62c | 5,745$3,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.23 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8d…8189backed No | 38c | 5,599$2,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,127.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 36c | 5,087$1,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,838.81 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.97 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 64c | 4,810$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.72 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Yes | 56c | 4,759$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,093.96 | 110 | 29.1%32 W · 78 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 59c | 2,914$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,181.94 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 63c | 2,714$1,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.29 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 64c | 2,433$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.56 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…55a0backed Yes | 60c | 2,200$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 36c | 2,198$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.95 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 34c | 1,889$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.32 | 400 | 46%184 W · 216 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 54c | 1,700$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x511a…9745backed Yes | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 41c | 1,582$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.71 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Yes | 65c | 1,539$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.62 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 40c | 1,462$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.82 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 37c | 1,444$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked No | 25c | 1,300$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…ec27backed Yes | 55c | 1,291$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.91 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 36c | 1,286$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.98 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,200$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34cf…7188backed No | 38c | 1,128$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.64 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -43%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 41c | 1,054$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.9 | 179 | 58.1%104 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 57c | 1,018$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.54 | 287 | 36.2%104 W · 183 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 62c | 1,015$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.88 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 459 | 36.2%166 W · 293 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 66c | 863.64$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.64 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 36c | 850.73$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.85 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 36c | 830.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.63 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 65c | 801.28$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbd…8086backed Yes | 62c | 799.81$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 175 | 44%77 W · 98 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Yes | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04f2…6fe4backed Yes | 65c | 769$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.15 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 64c | 750$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 61c | 749$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.04 | 216 | 56.9%123 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…a66cbacked Yes | 75c | 717$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 55c | 700$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 301 | 49.5%149 W · 152 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 60c | 688.95$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 76c | 653$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 29c | 641.43$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.77 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 2c | 635.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 591.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.69 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…5662backed Yes | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 38c | 552.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 37c | 521.94$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.12 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked No | 43c | 515$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 200 | 40.5%81 W · 119 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 36c | 499.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 36c | 490.16$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Yes | 64c | 476$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.36 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 62c | 418.97$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.18 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 44c | 402.77$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 246 | 30.5%75 W · 171 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 65c | 387.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -9.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 37c | 386.77$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 294 | 58.2%171 W · 123 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 34c | 364.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.87 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…3099backed Yes | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…3aa5backed No | 37c | 307.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 34c | 300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Yes | 61c | 300$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…6af3backed Yes | 64c | 293.75$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd585…3d66backed Yes | 64c | 281.25$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 37c | 244.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 36c | 238.51$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.87 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.20per pick | 59cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…5747backed No | 42c | 229.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 66c | 227.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed No | 47c | 213.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Yes | 65c | 200.72$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.72 | 172 | 54.1%93 W · 79 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 35c | 200.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Yes | 61c | 195.27$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.92 | 274 | 54%148 W · 126 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 57c | 191.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.36 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Yes | 56c | 178.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.27 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Yes | 63c | 170$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…2accbacked Yes | 60c | 167.73$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.09 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +71%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 77c | 159.7$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.15 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?this page
- Will Newcastle vs. Nottingham Forest end in a draw?No won
- Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-10-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.