Champions League · resolved market
Will Borussia Dortmund beat Ulsan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34b65e3da15b9316b1454bf76192c5d99e280434b759f2c3a3ae51bec3d86f52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 20c | 35,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.99 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 79c | 13,000$10,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,729.96 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 14c | 9,129$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.57 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 19c | 5,852$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.96 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x178e…76f7backed No | 20c | 4,750$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 21c | 4,129$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.88 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 20c | 3,452$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.82 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed No | 20c | 3,087$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 21c | 3,050$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 6c | 2,790$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 19c | 2,661$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.51 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 19c | 2,300$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Yes | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 11c | 1,075$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 5c | 1,070$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed No | 21c | 959.6$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.99 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked No | 20c | 849.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 6c | 796.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 20c | 751.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 80c | 685$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 19c | 628$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.32 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 8c | 627.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 210 | 37.1%78 W · 132 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 80c | 592.55$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…2cf3backed Yes | 80c | 562.5$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 78 | 76.9%60 W · 18 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 65cpaid | +23%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Yes | 79c | 518.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.97 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked No | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 80c | 407.34$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.47 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 19c | 399.95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 19c | 312.73$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Yes | 80c | 288.7$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 10c | 250$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked No | 20c | 248.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0107…96c5backed Yes | 79c | 248.44$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcab…d73bbacked No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked No | 22c | 182$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…82fabacked Yes | 80c | 175$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Yes | 80c | 157.63$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed No | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…c308backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 79c | 118.53$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d7…6beabacked No | 21c | 104.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670c…d5fabacked Yes | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…a318backed Yes | 80c | 98.56$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked No | 19c | 96.08$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked No | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 29.8%34 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec5…2bbdbacked Yes | 80c | 67.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Yes | 80c | 66.86$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26c…7bb5backed Yes | 80c | 65$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f9…6d62backed Yes | 80c | 62.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b9…e58fbacked Yes | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…5338backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…5b89backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6155…0dd4backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa401…1efebacked Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 69cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…de13backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e8…f846backed Yes | 80c | 19.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d3…d2e3backed Yes | 80c | 15.61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Borussia Dortmund beat Ulsan?this page
- Will Borussia Dortmund vs. Ulsan end in a draw?No won
- Will Ulsan beat Borussia Dortmund?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.