Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75b8a5b9accb7c464bd5c04271c42e91b52a1b1013471cf52c965287a336c093
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $808,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $813,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $808,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Yes | 72c | 339,082$242,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,298.58 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 28c | 302,557$85,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85,693.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 28c | 89,014$24,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,923.92 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked No | 28c | 60,200$16,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,856 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 29c | 33,333$9,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,666.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Yes | 73c | 25,813$18,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,070.65 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 28c | 24,706$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.66 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 71c | 20,000$14,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.01 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 72c | 16,409$11,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,516.86 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 22c | 15,565$3,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,377.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes | 70c | 14,989$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,562.94 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 30c | 14,800$4,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,392 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 30c | 11,768$3,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,569.97 | 45 | 24.4%11 W · 34 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Yes | 72c | 10,944$7,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.39 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 27c | 10,722$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,874.81 | 237 | 45.6%108 W · 129 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 29c | 8,799$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.73 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 73c | 6,981$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…0ccbbacked Yes | 73c | 6,537$4,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,795.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 28c | 6,429$1,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,807.44 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 28c | 6,030$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.97 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf661…d170backed No | 30c | 6,000$1,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,779.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 72c | 5,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 12c | 4,274$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.71 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2a…4945backed Yes | 73c | 4,129$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd532…f70dbacked Yes | 73c | 4,110$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 24c | 4,061$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.33 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed No | 28c | 4,015$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 69c | 3,916$2,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 73c | 3,723$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022.79 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 28c | 3,215$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 30c | 2,929$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…849ebacked Yes | 73c | 2,738$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.36 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked No | 27c | 2,661$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.92 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c3…99c4backed Yes | 70c | 2,571$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,479$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.29 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes | 73c | 2,467$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Yes | 70c | 2,411$1,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.2 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Yes | 72c | 2,384$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 28c | 2,327$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 28c | 2,200$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked No | 16c | 2,151$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 28c | 2,028$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.89 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 32c | 2,000$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.78 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 12c | 1,922$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.66 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 17c | 1,785$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…7691backed No | 28c | 1,732$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 71c | 1,669$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.04 | 46 | 71.7%33 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed No | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…19c5backed Yes | 70c | 1,442$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f45…0d98backed Yes | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 73c | 1,368$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 30c | 1,359$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.56 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 70c | 1,263$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.78 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Yes | 71c | 1,250$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 28c | 1,143$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.31 | 150 | 24%36 W · 114 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b3…fd19backed Yes | 70c | 1,081$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 28c | 1,024$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 71c | 1,000$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x778c…dbedbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 71c | 902.33$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…33babacked No | 31c | 888$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c58…b4e0backed Yes | 70c | 877.28$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.37 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…c8d3backed No | 31c | 869$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d06…d48ebacked Yes | 71c | 810.93$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…2252backed No | 35c | 789.95$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 782.15$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.18 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…65a7backed Yes | 69c | 724.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.66 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 71c | 700$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 74c | 697.74$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf920…4d4ebacked Yes | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…c1a6backed No | 16c | 684.6$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 28c | 667$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.52 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked No | 30c | 608.95$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 73c | 556.72$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…f4c5backed Yes | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…f4c1backed No | 29c | 522.96$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 73c | 520.55$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0c…b90abacked Yes | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 27c | 435.16$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b59…6445backed Yes | 71c | 425.34$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 4c | 399.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +119.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Yes | 71c | 361.44$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 71c | 352.11$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.11 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 71c | 351.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.19 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 70c | 351.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.91 | 343 | 42%144 W · 199 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6bbacked No | 4c | 349.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 73c | 349.32$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.32 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked No | 30c | 307.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.18 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Yes | 69c | 306$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3710…2b8dbacked Yes | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 72c | 299$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München win on 2025-10-04?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Bayern München end in a draw?No won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-10-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.