Premier League · resolved market
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8e871cbab61467b9bc10d8c9dd4299b8c5748cb1f21623b14d545e57ea590c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18d2…81e0backed Yes | 76c | 140,274$106,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,385.66 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 23c | 97,044$22,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,683 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -13.5wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…1608backed Yes | 79c | 30,711$24,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,568.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 22c | 23,548$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.97 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 308 | 51.3%158 W · 150 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed No | 32c | 15,100$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.91 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked No | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 22c | 9,577$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 1c | 7,038$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 79c | 6,291$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,291 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 21c | 6,142$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.18 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 21c | 5,906$1,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,265.84 | 386 | 45.3%175 W · 211 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 71c | 4,055$2,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.07 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed No | 25c | 3,865$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.47 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 74c | 3,852$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.42 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked No | 22c | 3,400$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748 | 184 | 33.7%62 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.97 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed No | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 135 | 52.6%71 W · 64 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…b756backed Yes | 79c | 2,534$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.14 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 78c | 2,508$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.77 | 306 | 66%202 W · 104 L | +57.3wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Yes | 74c | 2,500$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed No | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb39…ed7abacked Yes | 75c | 1,938$1,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 67c | 1,490$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.76 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed No | 22c | 1,369$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.18 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Yes | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b5…e43fbacked No | 25c | 1,057$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc236…fa9fbacked Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…251ebacked No | 17c | 915.02$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 75c | 888$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked No | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f7…9385backed No | 34c | 735.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3915…41bfbacked No | 28c | 730$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7dc…8900backed No | 28c | 710$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 211 | 53.1%112 W · 99 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…c602backed No | 28c | 690$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 75c | 689.3$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.97 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 69c | 649.71$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed No | 23c | 648.44$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.14 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4415…89cfbacked No | 25c | 620.04$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked No | 25c | 583.48$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.66 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed No | 35c | 544.71$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 74c | 540.54$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.54 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…748dbacked No | 26c | 475.19$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c7…4dbebacked Yes | 75c | 474.37$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Yes | 78c | 461.54$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.54 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…87d4backed Yes | 76c | 457.05$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97d…5e65backed No | 22c | 450.85$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 26c | 400$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 29c | 396.98$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.85 | 520 | 60.4%314 W · 206 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98cc…7470backed Yes | 72c | 388.55$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4839…43b5backed Yes | 72c | 375$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +112.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa75…3caabacked Yes | 72c | 315$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98f…a7b9backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Yes | 75c | 293.33$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…7220backed No | 28c | 290$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dae…9574backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e81…0dc3backed Yes | 72c | 285$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +186.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41d5…601fbacked Yes | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed4…c14dbacked Yes | 72c | 280$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd259…9d3fbacked Yes | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b5…b082backed Yes | 72c | 275$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec77…1660backed No | 26c | 263.38$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe811…8d16backed Yes | 75c | 256.33$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e23…99d7backed Yes | 72c | 255$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a3…f1ecbacked Yes | 76c | 236.95$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…9988backed No | 22c | 230.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…b3f8backed No | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b0…d1a5backed Yes | 72c | 225$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…1d40backed No | 28c | 225$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6011…a80abacked Yes | 76c | 221.3$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc07…50cabacked Yes | 75c | 214.68$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 67cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Yes | 68c | 195.82$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725b…b182backed No | 22c | 193.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a2…ecc9backed No | 26c | 193.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4a…3461backed No | 25c | 192.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf061…2572backed No | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…aa8dbacked Yes | 72c | 185$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e2…ce08backed Yes | 68c | 183.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba13…de89backed No | 26c | 179.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc84…3e67backed No | 28c | 179.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…cbddbacked No | 26c | 177.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 73c | 171.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.61 | 116 | 40.5%47 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked Yes | 65c | 160$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…c1debacked No | 28c | 155$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…e3f2backed Yes | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3c6…67ddbacked Yes | 74c | 145.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 30c | 139.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 187 | 52.9%99 W · 88 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…a3ecbacked No | 26c | 136.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed No | 22c | 135$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.