Premier League · resolved market
Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed63c79c64f571794f7c9fb3d1b839162e7a2a01340d6239a6251d5dbbe65a1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,532
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,532 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 11c | 5,100$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…c16abacked Yes | 10c | 5,043$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 8c | 4,774$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.89 | 320 | 37.2%119 W · 201 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Yes | 10c | 4,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,518$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.78 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…26ecbacked Yes | 11c | 3,302$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +172%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 9c | 2,927$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fb…84b5backed Yes | 11c | 2,727$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 9c | 2,400$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 135 | 47.4%64 W · 71 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Yes | 9c | 2,124$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 9c | 1,400$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 10c | 1,133$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.34 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7709…5852backed Yes | 11c | 1,093$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7457…3d0abacked Yes | 9c | 748.18$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…d932backed Yes | 10c | 722.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Yes | 11c | 636.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7752…a524backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd32a…e927backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Yes | 10c | 500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Yes | 12c | 487.75$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3a53backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…92d8backed Yes | 11c | 452.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 11c | 450$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 327 | 36.4%119 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…5c37backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd5…a3ccbacked Yes | 11c | 428.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 27%17 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Yes | 9c | 329.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Yes | 10c | 229.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed Yes | 12c | 212.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69fc…3f73backed Yes | 11c | 209.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef5d…12e7backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…ec66backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…e110backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa124…4891backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Yes | 10c | 159.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4612…0f82backed Yes | 10c | 155$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x686e…af8cbacked Yes | 10c | 144.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 88 | 25%22 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Yes | 12c | 140.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167b…5c8abacked Yes | 14c | 140.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec8…fd7bbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 12c | 123.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 327 | 37.6%123 W · 204 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2012…128fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +79%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…3455backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf919…db8fbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Yes | 13c | 99.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tottenham win on 2025-05-16?this page
- Will Aston Villa vs. Tottenham end in a draw?No won
- Will Aston Villa win on 2025-05-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.