Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Bitcoin all time high by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668f2d2a3b84a83b17b9832ffa4e2b1d88d44a35f6922e910ea8201d6a98a65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,884,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,097,956
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,884,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,534 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a60…d019backed Yes | 48c | 290,799$139,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,916.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -48%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 50c | 162,161$81,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,945.34 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5333…0427backed No | 55c | 137,379$75,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,651.73 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49c…8150backed Yes | 79c | 122,331$96,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,429.26 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…abd2backed No | 59c | 116,573$68,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,837.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e54…44fdbacked Yes | 36c | 103,651$36,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,665.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…42e5backed No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…fb76backed No | 57c | 98,167$55,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,762.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778a…b405backed No | 25c | 91,715$23,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,377.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2806…36e7backed No | 3c | 74,397$2,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbab3…9c34backed Yes | 66c | 57,241$38,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,217.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 53c | 54,011$28,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,643.39 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 67c | 50,255$33,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,767.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1362…55a8backed Yes | 43c | 41,573$17,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,712.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 63c | 37,295$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 54c | 36,240$19,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,527.66 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed No | 42c | 34,050$14,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,372.68 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…9c10backed Yes | 46c | 33,729$15,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,218.39 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…b9c3backed No | 51c | 30,697$15,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,677.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed No | 57c | 30,127$17,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,142.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472b…c594backed Yes | 54c | 27,511$14,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,572.11 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 46c | 25,882$12,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,848.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 42c | 23,791$9,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,914.81 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e2…5009backed No | 72c | 22,000$15,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,799.98 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…9d0ebacked Yes | 50c | 20,770$10,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,326.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 32c | 20,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,599.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 67c | 19,000$12,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,729.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 70cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes | 42c | 18,738$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,922.98 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 29c | 18,395$5,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,252.43 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…4725backed Yes | 55c | 18,132$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,224.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…bf96backed Yes | 57c | 17,670$9,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,673.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x174e…b3c0backed Yes | 77c | 16,847$12,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,956.81 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…5074backed Yes | 53c | 16,163$8,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,596.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 64c | 16,027$10,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,235.1 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…533bbacked No | 35c | 15,065$5,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,223.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…d2e4backed Yes | 59c | 14,047$8,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,806.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef2…6d23backed No | 57c | 13,854$7,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,855.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 42cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…1c70backed Yes | 72c | 13,448$9,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,715.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 58c | 12,820$7,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,346.9 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff9e…56a1backed No | 43c | 12,750$5,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…a393backed Yes | 63c | 12,438$7,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,634 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | +19.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 56c | 12,371$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,452.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…f979backed No | 71c | 11,929$8,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,527.41 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca4…9837backed No | 57c | 11,900$6,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,758.94 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…9b61backed No | 58c | 11,647$6,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,759.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e44…e83fbacked No | 45c | 11,308$5,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,082.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab1c…aaddbacked No | 27c | 11,158$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…e5a4backed No | 68c | 10,233$6,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,917.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d2…e372backed No | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…ab4dbacked No | 29c | 10,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…6d3ebacked No | 61c | 10,000$6,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,069.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8f39backed No | 59c | 9,654$5,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,681.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…61c3backed No | 59c | 9,575$5,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,689.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 57c | 9,527$5,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed Yes | 39c | 9,411$3,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,769.28 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…5757backed No | 40c | 9,163$3,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,657.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked Yes | 35c | 8,497$2,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,537.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd61…87b5backed Yes | 54c | 8,422$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,864.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…abe7backed Yes | 33c | 8,189$2,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,507.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +205.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 42c | 8,142$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,737.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d26…1819backed Yes | 28c | 7,832$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,643.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb21…8145backed No | 55c | 7,656$4,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,205.03 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…584fbacked Yes | 41c | 7,537$3,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,418.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed Yes | 60c | 7,100$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 67c | 6,962$4,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,677.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…9d82backed No | 66c | 6,872$4,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5303…d66ebacked Yes | 61c | 6,846$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ce…ab3abacked No | 30c | 6,557$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d9…2025backed Yes | 66c | 6,445$4,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,175.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…6bcfbacked Yes | 67c | 6,221$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.06 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -90%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fe…5d9ebacked Yes | 49c | 6,142$3,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,113.02 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…5d7cbacked Yes | 67c | 6,066$4,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Yes | 67c | 6,000$4,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Yes | 66c | 5,915$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,981.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a0…436dbacked No | 12c | 5,451$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1f…90c0backed No | 35c | 5,374$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b10…4abcbacked No | 68c | 5,148$3,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff3d…3fddbacked No | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 48c | 4,993$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.17 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6d…263cbacked Yes | 60c | 4,980$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e8…a85abacked Yes | 47c | 4,848$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,580.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 49c | 4,800$2,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.97 | 38 | 13.2%5 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 54c | 4,500$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…a160backed No | 63c | 4,477$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,799.63 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…1148backed No | 64c | 4,169$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd3…ef31backed No | 54c | 4,027$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 64c | 3,872$2,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,483.83 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -11.2wins | -0.35per pick | 72cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 66c | 3,788$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4c…dd95backed No | 27c | 3,675$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x531f…1df1backed No | 28c | 3,570$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb37…fbacbacked Yes | 74c | 3,417$2,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.07 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c01…67f8backed Yes | 39c | 3,398$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1923…3b76backed No | 37c | 3,328$1,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,246.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…d668backed Yes | 41c | 3,300$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,949.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +144.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…be32backed Yes | 59c | 3,224$1,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,323.25 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5bd8backed No | 63c | 3,159$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 72c | 3,131$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,253.15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed No | 62c | 3,083$1,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.