Champions League · resolved market
Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee6e97f822d3ef588288fa163b03bc4c10080fb918b112adff68db1ffcb16097
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $605,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $582,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $605,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 270 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc58d…9373backed No | 27c | 157,904$41,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115,928.62 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 74c | 70,000$51,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,597.57 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63eb…d9f8backed Yes | 75c | 30,794$22,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,986.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 76c | 29,827$22,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,607.41 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Yes | 75c | 26,733$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 72c | 26,281$18,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,839.97 | 128 | 48.4%62 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked No | 29c | 22,941$6,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,386.13 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 26c | 22,671$5,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,732.66 | 398 | 42.2%168 W · 230 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 27c | 22,109$6,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,059.58 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed No | 31c | 20,265$6,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,982.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 27c | 18,314$4,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,403.22 | 187 | 58.8%110 W · 77 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 36c | 17,504$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,222.7 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6391…bc1cbacked Yes | 75c | 12,950$9,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,712.5 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed Yes | 74c | 12,431$9,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,198.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 27c | 11,902$3,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,688.55 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 27c | 10,923$2,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950.93 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Yes | 76c | 8,394$6,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,397.09 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f1…a19ebacked Yes | 56c | 4,985$2,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,767.54 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 71c | 4,930$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 23c | 4,656$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.1 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…f687backed No | 28c | 4,443$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,198.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 25c | 4,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,979.95 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 28c | 3,715$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,672.39 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Yes | 76c | 3,633$2,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,761.16 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 3,590$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.68 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 70c | 3,571$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb725…84cabacked Yes | 74c | 3,444$2,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,548.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 73c | 3,376$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.32 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b21…41fabacked Yes | 75c | 3,338$2,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.46 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 59c | 3,334$1,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,968.69 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 67c | 2,834$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked No | 29c | 2,800$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 40cpaid | +141.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…fa49backed Yes | 64c | 2,569$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.36 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf14a…bde5backed Yes | 74c | 2,534$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 25c | 2,308$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.03 | 449 | 55.7%250 W · 199 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.82 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…5981backed Yes | 54c | 2,056$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed No | 27c | 2,050$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.5 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 30c | 2,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 23c | 1,907$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.29 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Yes | 31c | 1,579$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdc…6125backed Yes | 76c | 1,399$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 50c | 1,397$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.16 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47fc…b576backed No | 45c | 1,274$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.46 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb289…a997backed Yes | 68c | 1,095$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 41c | 1,073$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.41 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Yes | 23c | 1,015$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.44 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d1…8c4dbacked Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed No | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.98 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 55c | 980$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.8 | 291 | 42.3%123 W · 168 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 49c | 826$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.26 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 62c | 813.75$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.24 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 25c | 786.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.6 | 469 | 56.5%265 W · 204 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed No | 50c | 783.81$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.23 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 55c | 763$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 249 | 63.1%157 W · 92 L | +45.5wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Yes | 70c | 761.58$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 24c | 700$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be2…8b8abacked Yes | 62c | 700$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b3…dc96backed Yes | 74c | 678.38$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f95…8afcbacked Yes | 73c | 673.97$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a8…9a18backed Yes | 74c | 659.64$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 73c | 647.63$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.34 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Yes | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 25c | 558$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.7 | 383 | 56.7%217 W · 166 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 73c | 552$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.96 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d67…7915backed Yes | 73c | 548.63$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc164…e3b5backed Yes | 64c | 533.27$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 51c | 519.01$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.9 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 73c | 482.15$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.97 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 73c | 449.99$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.49 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Yes | 64c | 430.01$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.21 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 27c | 400$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Yes | 79c | 381.07$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…81c2backed Yes | 33c | 350$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…b82fbacked Yes | 72c | 346.14$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 24c | 343.65$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.17 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 35c | 338.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.14 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d5…ac1ebacked Yes | 50c | 324.78$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.38 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…f98fbacked Yes | 73c | 301.37$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc3…2626backed Yes | 76c | 299.99$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47c…a661backed Yes | 80c | 299.18$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe085…5474backed Yes | 51c | 296.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…1bb1backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 53c | 289.35$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.75 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…c8ebbacked Yes | 78c | 284$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.52 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 73c | 280$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 62c | 273.81$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 74c | 271.64$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.35 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 67c | 268.22$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes | 55c | 263.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 76c | 261.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 159 | 66.7%106 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…95aebacked Yes | 59c | 256.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 43c | 255.15$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.78 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…3602backed Yes | 74c | 250.41$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Madrid beat Al Hilal?this page
- Will Al Hilal beat Real Madrid?No won
- Will Real Madrid vs. Al Hilal end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.