TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Inter win on 2025-09-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,142
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,474

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,142 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2635…5408backed No36c356,013$128,583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128,582.532429.2%7 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked No38c140,041$53,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,167.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Yes63c100,112$62,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,166.85955.9%33 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Yes64c100,000$64,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,0001330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-55.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Yes62c81,063$50,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,404.098558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Yes64c80,000$51,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,8001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick62cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Yes64c65,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,4001877.8%14 W · 4 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+34.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes63c48,452$30,758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,693.862,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Yes62c40,000$24,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,200425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No37c35,000$12,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,943.7910952.3%57 W · 52 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed No37c30,000$11,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,099.993511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-74.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed Yes64c19,825$12,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,150.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Yes62c5,884$3,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,235.9324657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes63c5,607$3,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,054.481457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No34c3,508$1,193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,192.625240.4%21 W · 31 L-8.6wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x571c…c16abacked Yes67c2,999$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.34728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick60cpaid-58.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes65c2,369$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.771163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+41.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No33c2,028$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.420143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1a4…819fbacked Yes66c1,894$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.94977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.28per pick50cpaid+55.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2bf…2ab3backed Yes63c1,630$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed Yes63c1,579$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes62c1,398$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.9733357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No14c1,370$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.571,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45c3…42f9backed Yes63c1,182$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.84977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes62c1,048$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.245446.3%25 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked No19c992.08$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.794641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No34c958.46$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7122551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0709…f2edbacked Yes64c878.66$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.324134.1%14 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7428…e742backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe9b…5662backed Yes66c606.44$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed No37c599.95$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.981323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed No38c528.58$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No34c514.99$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.9512452.4%65 W · 59 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Yes63c500$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x601d…1778backed Yes64c466.41$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.91425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4029…27a1backed Yes71c465$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…00d8backed Yes62c432$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.163850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1172…9b72backed Yes64c327.58$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b59…6445backed Yes64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98a2…033fbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes66c305.2$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.226744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes64c304.69$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.696553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10812540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes64c276.56$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.566547.7%31 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No36c252.42$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9241943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e10…70f4backed No13c250$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Yes62c247.89$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.8913752.6%72 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe427…4c44backed Yes66c246.97$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.97540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca8…2882backed Yes65c244.88$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.88742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No35c236$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.65839.7%23 W · 35 L-8.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe57f…ad4fbacked No39c232.92$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No34c230$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.84839.6%19 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x22d1…45afbacked Yes65c198.73$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.081361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No35c176$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.616045%72 W · 88 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes63c173.02$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.023246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9e…94cfbacked No36c170$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2de…9fb3backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.733132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x569d…ede8backed Yes63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.73366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Yes64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.256960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8513155%72 W · 59 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Yes64c150$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c1…aa71backed Yes67c150$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-58.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca7…d82dbacked Yes64c146.44$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a29…c0b6backed Yes64c140.63$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.632272.7%16 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No37c140$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.814742.9%63 W · 84 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked No38c130.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506822.1%15 W · 53 L-7.3wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-35.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xaea0…8f66backed Yes63c126.98$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.98714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.35per pick49cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x6a4c…6579backed No13c126.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick30cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2619…9f4ebacked Yes64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.54060%24 W · 16 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6899…6853backed Yes63c97.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1700…54d9backed Yes62c96.8$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36c8…6737backed Yes66c95.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.71080%8 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x008e…5747backed Yes63c94.08$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes64c93.75$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.759353.8%50 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eff…8490backed Yes64c92.81$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06da…3181backed Yes65c87.69$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.692055%11 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+51%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d03…369abacked Yes64c81.87$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.883171%22 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Yes62c81.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8416154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f9e…7293backed Yes64c81.16$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.22771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9264…bca3backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.655563.6%35 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd06…64e0backed Yes62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed No13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.373141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes64c77.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.526053.3%32 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed6…a111backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes65c76.46$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.461450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab3b…a825backed Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.761973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick62cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd08…c44ebacked Yes63c74.6$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed No34c66$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.444854.2%26 W · 22 L+6.9wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+41.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.521258.3%7 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53e8…bf07backed Yes64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52763%17 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x735a…3ef2backed Yes63c61.9$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97450%37 W · 37 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No35c58.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.1120827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176355.6%35 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc02…958abacked Yes64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+47.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x423b…0972backed Yes63c48.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.