MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x043d8e1a4237156a25361bb635d34e0aee76df98854895a422dcbb17bfd6572c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Redsof Reds, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $120,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Reds | 41c | 20,575$8,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,139.11 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Guardians | 59c | 15,995$9,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,437.05 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60f5…d984backed Reds | 39c | 9,999$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,099.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1f…4a50backed Guardians | 61c | 9,995$6,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,096.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Reds | 41c | 5,179$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.7 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 44c | 4,146$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.59 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 59c | 3,965$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.53 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 61c | 3,489$2,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,129.7 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 36c | 2,964$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.76 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Reds | 40c | 2,935$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.23 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a2…962abacked Guardians | 63c | 2,796$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 39c | 2,501$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Guardians | 33c | 2,343$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 14c | 2,125$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Guardians | 62c | 2,096$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.32 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Guardians | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,948$1,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.17 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Guardians | 58c | 1,751$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.34 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 44c | 1,700$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,692$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 60c | 1,657$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 54c | 1,442$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.63 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,256$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.95 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Guardians | 59c | 1,232$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.14 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Guardians | 4c | 1,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Reds | 64c | 1,117$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Guardians | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Reds | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Reds | 38c | 999.97$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Guardians | 58c | 999.79$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.88 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Reds | 37c | 983.94$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.88 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…9ad0backed Guardians | 60c | 844.1$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.46 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Reds | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Guardians | 59c | 764.38$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.98 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c8…c481backed Reds | 41c | 738.24$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.56 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Reds | 68c | 736.76$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Guardians | 18c | 647.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.87 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians | 12c | 610.48$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Reds | 38c | 599.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.99 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 58c | 595.24$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.24 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…e5a8backed Guardians | 61c | 555.5$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ea…d560backed Reds | 39c | 555.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Guardians | 36c | 549.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Reds | 62c | 535$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.1 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 43c | 513.18$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.68 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed Reds | 42c | 488$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Reds | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Guardians | 40c | 439.85$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Guardians | 16c | 431$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.83 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Reds | 76c | 423.09$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.09 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Reds | 38c | 422.51$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.31 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec2…10dabacked Guardians | 36c | 421.89$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Reds | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Reds | 55c | 399.18$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.75 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 26c | 379.41$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.26 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…52bcbacked Guardians | 58c | 352.24$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Guardians | 26c | 350$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.83 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Reds | 40c | 349.96$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.98 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Guardians | 42c | 311.66$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Reds | 61c | 310$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Guardians | 58c | 295$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.1 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Reds | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Reds | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Reds | 40c | 283.34$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Reds | 43c | 267$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.58 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 39c | 263$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.43 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Reds | 70c | 256.98$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf47d…f295backed Reds | 40c | 251.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.74 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 59c | 249.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.44 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 46c | 248.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Guardians | 60c | 245$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Reds | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2339…e984backed Guardians | 59c | 243.74$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.81 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Guardians | 17c | 230.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.77 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Reds | 73c | 207.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.14 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Guardians | 38c | 202.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Guardians | 53c | 187.24$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.12 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Reds | 42c | 179.21$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf3…8bd3backed Reds | 40c | 175$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb260…a44ebacked Guardians | 62c | 170.7$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Guardians | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 24c | 168.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…5f22backed Guardians | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Guardians | 61c | 165.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Guardians | 49c | 164$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Guardians | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Guardians | 60c | 160$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Guardians | 35c | 150$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae3f…12fabacked Guardians | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 120 | 25.8%31 W · 89 L | -15.3wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Reds | 55c | 142.26$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.78 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Reds | 79c | 119.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Reds | 42c | 118.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 41c | 113$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 41c | 106$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Reds | 39c | 101.69$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Reds | 40c | 100.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.29 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd7…cb0bbacked Reds | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.32per pick | 50cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.